Earnings call transcript: Trustmark beats Q2 2025 EPS forecast, shares dip

Trustmark Corporation (TRMK) reported its second-quarter earnings for 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with an EPS of $0.92 compared to the forecasted $0.87, a 5.75% surprise. Revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $201.3 million against a forecast of $199.1 million. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company appears slightly overvalued at current levels, though net income is expected to grow this year. Despite these positive results, Trustmark’s stock fell by 1.37% to $38.72 in post-earnings trading, reflecting potential investor concerns or broader market trends.

Key Takeaways

• Trustmark’s EPS outperformed forecasts by 5.75%.
• Revenue exceeded expectations, hitting $201.3 million.
• Stock price declined by 1.37% post-earnings.
• Loan growth and deposit increases were highlighted in the earnings call.
• The company revised its loan growth outlook to mid-single digits.

Company Performance

Trustmark Corporation demonstrated solid financial performance in the second quarter of 2025. The company reported a net income of $55.8 million and a fully diluted EPS of $0.92, marking a 4.5% increase quarter-over-quarter. InvestingPro data shows the company has maintained dividend payments for 53 consecutive years, with a current yield of 2.48%. Trustmark’s return on average assets was 1.21%, and return on average tangible equity reached 13.13%. The company’s net interest income rose by 4.3% to $161.4 million, supported by a net interest margin of 3.81%. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 7 additional key insights about TRMK’s financial health and growth prospects.

Financial Highlights

• Revenue: $201.3 million, surpassing expectations and increasing from previous quarters.
• Earnings per share: $0.92, a 4.5% increase quarter-over-quarter.
• Net interest income: $161.4 million, up 4.3%.
• Return on average tangible equity: 13.13%.
• Net interest margin: 3.81%.

Earnings vs. Forecast

Trustmark exceeded analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. The EPS of $0.92 was a 5.75% surprise over the forecasted $0.87. Revenue reached $201.3 million, surpassing the forecast of $199.1 million by 1.1%. These results indicate a strong quarter for Trustmark, continuing its trend of beating expectations.

Market Reaction

Despite outperforming earnings expectations, Trustmark’s stock fell by 1.37% to $38.72 in after-hours trading. This decline suggests that investors may have had concerns about other aspects of the company’s performance or broader market conditions. The stock remains within its 52-week range, with a high of $40.73 and a low of $29.77. InvestingPro analysis reveals analyst price targets ranging from $39 to $45.50, suggesting potential upside. The stock has shown strong momentum with a 12% return over the past six months. For detailed valuation metrics and comprehensive analysis, investors can access TRMK’s Pro Research Report, part of InvestingPro’s coverage of 1,400+ US stocks.

Outlook & Guidance

Trustmark revised its loan growth outlook to mid-single digits, reflecting optimism in its lending activities. The company also anticipates low single-digit growth in deposits and expects its net interest margin to remain between 3.77% and 3.83%. Trustmark continues to explore potential mergers and acquisitions in the $1-5 billion range, particularly in markets such as Louisiana, Arkansas, and Tennessee.

Executive Commentary

CEO Duane Hughes stated, "We continue to build momentum in the second quarter as Trustmark’s profitability metrics expanded." He emphasized the company’s focus on organic growth and talent recruitment. CFO Tom Owens noted, "We are slightly asset sensitive," highlighting Trustmark’s strategic positioning in the current market environment.

Risks and Challenges

• Market volatility: Fluctuations in the broader market could impact investor sentiment and stock performance.
• Interest rate sensitivity: Changes in interest rates may affect net interest income and margins.
• Competitive pressures: Increased competition in key markets could challenge growth objectives.
• Economic conditions: Macroeconomic factors could influence loan and deposit growth.
• Regulatory changes: Potential changes in banking regulations could impact operations.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the drivers of loan growth, particularly in non-CRE categories. Trustmark highlighted its strategic focus on organic growth and potential mergers and acquisitions. Analysts also noted positive trends in credit quality, with a reduction in criticized and classified loans.

Full transcript - Trustmark Corporation (TRMK) Q2 2025:

Conference Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Trustmark Corporation’s Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. Following the presentation this morning, there will be a question and answer session. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Mr.

Joey Rain, Director of Corporate Strategy at Trustmark.

Joey Rain, Director of Corporate Strategy, Trustmark Corporation: Good morning. I’d like to remind everyone that a copy of our second quarter earnings release and the slide presentation that we’ll be discussing this morning is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at trustmark dot com. During our call, management may make forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We would like to caution you that these forward looking statements may differ materially from actual results due to a number of risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in our earnings release and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. At this time, I’d like to introduce Duane Hughes, President and CEO of Trustmark.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Thank you, Joey, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us this morning. With me are Tom Owens, our Chief Financial Officer Barry Harvey, our Chief Credit and Operations Officer and Tom Chambers, our Chief Accounting Officer. We continue to build momentum in the second quarter as Trustmark’s profitability metrics expanded fueled by loan and deposit growth, solid credit quality, diversified fee income and disciplined expense management. In our presentation this morning, I will provide a summary of our performance, discuss our forward guidance and then move to questions.

This will reduce the time spent on our comments and allow more time for your questions. Now turning to slide three, the financial highlights. From the balance sheet perspective, loans held for investment increased $223,000,000 or 1.7% linked quarter and $374,800,000 or 2.9% year to date. Our linked quarter growth is diversified with one to four family mortgage loans, other loans and leases and commercial and industrial loans leading the way. Our deposit base grew $35,000,000 during the quarter as growth in non interest bearing deposits was offset in part by a decline in interest bearing deposits.

Personal and commercial deposits totaled $13,000,000,000 at June 30, an increase of $103,800,000 or 0.8% from the prior quarter. Our cost of total deposits in the second quarter was 1.8%, a decline of three basis points linked quarter. Trustmark reported net income in the second quarter of $55,800,000 representing fully diluted EPS of $0.92 a share, up 4.5% from the prior quarter. This level of earnings resulted in a return on average assets of 1.21% and a return on average tangible equity of 13.13% in the second quarter. Net interest income expanded 4.3% to $161,400,000 which produced a net interest margin of 3.81%, an increase of six basis points from the prior quarter.

Non interest income totaled $39,900,000 excluding the gain on a sale of a bank facility in the first quarter and a net loss on the sale of bank facilities in the second quarter non interest income was unchanged linked quarter. Disciplined expense management continues to be a priority. Non interest expense increased $1,100,000 or 0.9% linked quarter, which follows a full year decline in 2024 as well as a decline in the first quarter of twenty twenty five. Salaries and employee benefits and equipment expense were lower linked quarter while services and fees increased reflecting higher professional fees. Credit quality remained solid with some improvement.

Non performing assets declined $5,000,000 or 5.3% linked quarter. Net charge offs were $4,100,000 including three individually analyzed credits totaling 2,700,000 which were reserved for prior periods. Net charge offs represented 12 basis points of average loans in the second quarter. The net provision for credit losses was $4,700,000 and the allowance for credit losses represented 1.25% of loans held for investment. Again very solid performance.

From a capital management perspective each of our capital ratios increased during the quarter. The CET1 ratio expanded seven basis points to 11.7% while our total risk based capital ratio increased five basis points to 14.15%. During the quarter, we repurchased $11,000,000 of Trustmark common stock. In the first six months of the year, we have repurchased $26,000,000 of common stock. We have a remaining $74,000,000 in repurchase authority for the year.

This program continues to be subject to market conditions and management discretion. Tangible book value per share was $28.74 at June 30, up 3.5% linked quarter and 13.9% year over year. The Board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share payable September 15 to shareholders of record on September 1. Now let’s focus on our forward looking guidance for the year which is on page 15 of the deck. As you can see we are making positive revisions and affirming our previously provided full year 2025 expectations in all other areas.

Although we are monitoring the impact of tariffs and other administrative policies on our customer base, interest rates and credit related issues, the situation continues to evolve and we’ve not seen a significant impact at this point. We expect loans held for investment to increase mid single digits for the full year. This is revised upward from our previous guidance of low single digit growth. We affirm our guidance of low single digit growth in deposits excluding brokered deposits for the full year 2025. There is no change in guidance regarding securities as they are expected to remain stable as we continue to reinvest cash flows.

We’ve tightened our anticipated range of net interest margin for full year 2025. The range is now 3.77% to 3.83% for the full year compared to our prior guidance of 3.75% to 3.85%. We’ve revised our expectations for net interest income to increase high single digits in 2025. Our previous guidance was an increase of mid to high single digits. From a credit perspective, the provision for credit losses, including unfunded commitments, is expected to continue to trend lower when compared to full year 2024.

This is a positive revision from our previous guidance for the provision to remain stable. There is no change in our non interest income and non interest expense guidance for the full year 2025. We will continue our disciplined approach to capital deployment with a preference for organic loan growth, potential market expansion and M and A or other general corporate purposes

Conference Operator: depending on market conditions. As noted

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: A earlier, we do have remaining availability in our board authorized share repurchase program that we’ll consider opportunistically. So with that summary and overview, I’d like to open the floor up to questions.

Conference Operator: We will now begin the question and answer session. Our first question comes from Catherine Mealor with KBW.

Catherine Mealor, Analyst, KBW: Good morning, everyone.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Good morning, Good Catherine.

Catherine Mealor, Analyst, KBW: Was nice to see the increase in your growth guide back up to mid single digit. Can you talk a little bit about what’s driving that? Is it more less that you’re seeing less pay downs or better origination growth?

Barry Harvey, Chief Credit and Operations Officer, Trustmark Corporation: Catherine, this is Barry. A combination of good morning. It’s a combination of things. Our production really in Q4 and the first half of this year in non CRE categories has been very good. And so we’re seeing more activity in those non CRE categories.

Within CRE, we’re seeing good solid production, good solid fundings like we have historically. And then to your other point, as it relates to delays and payoffs, we look this quarter at the first half of the year at what was scheduled maturities for our CRE book and about 50 plus percent of the scheduled maturities pushed out. They for the first half of the year they either pushed out to the second half of this year or they pushed out into ’26 and ’27 with extensions. And so, we are seeing that occur and we’re pleased to see that because it helps things be able to be smoothed out a little bit. But also I think it’s very important to note that in non CRE categories we are seeing good growth that we may not have always seen previously to the same extent we are now.

So that’s very encouraging.

Catherine Mealor, Analyst, KBW: Great. And maybe just maybe just to step back a bigger picture question. Your profitability has continued to move higher really throughout the past over the past year and a half and you’re now at 1.2% ROA, 13% ROC. Any thoughts on just goals or where you think that’s going to? A lot of it’s been just from margin expansion.

So maybe that’s kind of a margin question if you see there if you think there’s more margin expansion within that. But just curious if you think there’s still profitability improvement ahead for us? Thanks.

Tom Owens, Chief Financial Officer, Trustmark Corporation: So Catherine, this is Tom Owens. I’ll start. I think that yes, there is upside going forward in terms of profitability. I think the combination of continuing to drive operating leverage, growing balance sheet, I think the potential for some continued NIM expansion going forward We’ll continue to drive higher ROA. The question in terms of ROTCE, I think is very much going to be a function of how we manage capital.

We’ve been very pleased with the capital story. Our higher run rate profitability has allowed us to support pretty solid loan growth at the same time that we’re deploying capital via repurchase, while simultaneously continuing to drive pretty meaningful linked quarter accretion in our capital ratios. And so I think it’s reasonable to assume that we’ll continue in this range of 10,000,000 to $15,000,000 a quarter in terms of share repurchase here in 2025. I think as those capital ratios continue to accrete as we get into 2026, that’s sort of a headwind to return on tangible common equity, right, the build in capital. And so we talk about the strategic optionality that we have now with the very favorable circumstances that we find ourselves in.

And so we’re going to have some important strategic decisions to make going forward in terms of how we manage capital. Hey,

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Catherine, and I’ll add. This is And we can’t forget back you’re looking back eighteen months our Fit to Grow initiatives and all the focus on some restructuring, the focus on expense management and expense control and you think of a 2024 actual decline in expenses first half looks real solid. We do have some things that are happening in the second quarter merit increases and the like hit in the second quarter or the second half of the year. But the diligent expense focus has been paying dividends as well. So, the combination results are pretty telling.

Catherine Mealor, Analyst, KBW: Yes, for sure. Okay, great. Thank you for the color.

Conference Operator: Our next question comes from Tim Mitchell with Raymond James.

Tim Mitchell, Analyst, Raymond James: Hey, good morning everyone. Good Good morning, Just wanted to start on the

Speaker 7: NIM guidance and obviously good to see you raise the ATM outlook. But just curious

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: I’m sorry, you’re breaking up. You’re breaking up. We can’t we couldn’t make out your comments.

Tim Mitchell, Analyst, Raymond James: I’m sorry. Can you hear me now?

Speaker 7: Yes. Yes.

Tim Mitchell, Analyst, Raymond James: Sorry about that. Just on the NIM and the NII outlook, just curious any rate cut assumptions underlying that? And then within that, what would take you to the kind of the top end versus lower of the NIM range?

Tom Owens, Chief Financial Officer, Trustmark Corporation: Sure. This is Tom Owens. Thanks for the question. So in our baseline forecast, which reflects market implied forwards, we do have a Fed rate cut in September and December of this year. So the December one won’t be so impactful on net interest margin this year.

And it remains to be obviously whether the Fed does cut in September or not. I mean last I looked at Mark implied forwards, it’s greater than a fifty-fifty probability, but certainly not a high probability yet at this point. We are slightly asset sensitive. And so to the extent that the Fed does not cut and we’ve talked on prior calls about the ongoing repricing tailwind we have to net interest margin from ongoing repricing of fixed rate loans and securities. That is helpful.

That should continue to drive modest linked quarter increases in net interest margin. And to the extent that the Fed does cut, obviously, we’d be reacting with deposit cuts to rates paid on deposits with the objective of defending our net interest margin. So we feel like we’re in a good place in terms of the guidance that we’ve put out there really from the start of the year. And I think we’re at 3.78% year to date and feel good about the guidance for the remainder of the year.

Tim Mitchell, Analyst, Raymond James: Okay, great. And then just as a follow-up, just curious your updated thoughts. Obviously, we’ve seen some more M and A activity here in the past couple of weeks and a lot of banks have talked about hiring and organic growth, bringing on new lenders and such. So just kind of curious your thoughts on whether you favor one of those strategies or just kind of your updated thoughts on growing through those means? Thanks.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: This is Duane. And I would say on both counts, yes. We are focusing on the growth markets that we serve currently, which we have a number when you look at markets like Houston, Texas and Birmingham and Atlanta and South Alabama, Panhandle, Florida and even in our home market of Jackson, Mississippi, we are very actively recruiting, and looking for talent across the board. And so that’s a key part of our strategic focus. And as you know that generates organic growth.

And then I would say, yes, the M and A activity has increased fairly significantly. There are many, many different options and discussions happening across and not just at Trustmark, I assume across the overall industry. And we are interested and we’ll be very focused and conservative I think in our approach to M and A, but are very, very interested in participating.

Tim Mitchell, Analyst, Raymond James: Okay, great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Thank you.

Conference Operator: You. Our next question comes from Christopher Marinac with Janney.

Christopher Marinac, Analyst, Janney: Thanks. Good morning. I want to follow-up on the M

Chris, Analyst, Janney: and A question only from the perspective of as you have other acquisitions like what we saw in Texas last week. Does that change your kind of partner program with the preferred banks you partner with? Could that widen the lens as we see other changes around you?

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: I don’t know, Chris. I’m not sure, it changes a whole lot. I mean, Texas is a very attractive market. We are active and have a presence in the Texas market. We both bank and have direct banking activities in Houston, but we also have a lot of other credit exposure etcetera throughout the state.

That’s a very attractive market to us and have for a time and now probably are in the best position to consider optionality there. But that does not preclude us from looking at other parts of our contiguous markets and markets that are very significant high growth markets that present opportunity for us in all of our different lines of business. So I think across the board, Texas is very interesting, but the rest of our markets are equally interesting as well.

Chris, Analyst, Janney: Okay. Great. That’s helpful, Duane. Thank you. And just a quick credit question as it pertains to the kind of the positive revision that we saw in the guide.

Does that have any implications on the reserve? Or is it more just about the quarterly amounts from the provision expense?

Barry Harvey, Chief Credit and Operations Officer, Trustmark Corporation: Chris, it was this is Barry. It was hard to hear your question, but were you asking specifically about the provision for this quarter versus going forward?

Chris, Analyst, Janney: It was more about how the reserve and do you have changes in the big picture of the reserve as a result of this small revision we saw? Is there any relief ahead you look out to how the reserve is comprised?

Barry Harvey, Chief Credit and Operations Officer, Trustmark Corporation: Yes. The reserve itself, we moved this quarter, we were at 1.25% versus the 1.26% we saw in the previous quarter. We from the provisioning standpoint, we expect the provisioning as we’ve guided to continue to be similar if to what we’ve seen in the first half of this year. From the standpoint of the reserve levels, we continue to see less in terms of unfunded commitments that particularly unfunded commitments is down for the year by about $187,000,000 And so that’s reserving that we don’t have to do on the contingent liability piece of the equation. We do continue to see meaningful reserves meaningful provisioning on the funded side of provision expense.

And so, but I think what we see going forward from a guide perspective is similar to what we saw in the first half of the year. And we’re very pleased with that. I would say, Chris, as it relates to the provisioning for this quarter, we had good loan growth, which required provisioning. We had some weakening economic factors that are baked into our quantitative forward forecasting models. But what really drove the provisioning down for this quarter unlike previous quarters was we did see a meaningful reduction in criticized loans about $71,000,000 We also saw a meaningful reduction in classified loans about $40,000,000 And when you see those reductions those in and of themselves we’re very pleased with, but we’re also pleased with the fact that about we had about $75,000,000 worth of non pass credits upgraded to pass.

And so that’s the type of reduction in criticized and classified we’d like to see because one we’ve returned a problem credit back to a pass category, but we’ve kept the outstanding balances and we’ve kept good earning assets. So we’re very pleased with reducing criticized and classifieds however we have to, but our preference, our strong preference is always to keep those balances and be able to return those credits to the pass category. So this quarter I think was very important for us because during 2024, we are criticized and classifieds grew like most banks did, especially those who were in the CRE business like we are due to the five fifty basis point increase in interest rates that occurred over about an eighteen month period that put a lot of pressure on CRE projects specifically. But then during the first quarter, we saw a leveling out of that those increases in criticized and classified and we were flat in those categories. This quarter, we saw a meaningful reduction as I mentioned $71,000,000 in criticized down, dollars 40,000,000 in classified down, but yet we were able to upgrade $75,000,000 from non pass to pass and keep those earning assets and that helps on the loan growth side of the equation as well.

So we’re very pleased with what we saw and the provisioning is the provisioning and in the numbers the number. Having said that, we’re very pleased with the reason why our provisioning was lower this quarter.

Chris, Analyst, Janney: Great, Barry. That’s really helpful background. Thank you for sharing all that. Just a quick question for you on the tax rate. Is the tax rate still about this level that we saw in the past quarter?

Christopher Marinac, Analyst, Janney: Go ahead. This is Tom Chambers. If you’re looking at our year to date tax rate through the first six months, you’re looking at 18.4% effective tax rate. And looking forward, we believe that that’s going to our year end effective tax rate will be in that range of about, I’d say 18.3% to 18.5%. Of course, that’s driven by pretax income or forecast pretax income.

Joey Rain, Director of Corporate Strategy, Trustmark Corporation: So I

Christopher Marinac, Analyst, Janney: think we’ll be in that level range.

Chris, Analyst, Janney: Great. Thank you very much and thanks for hosting us all this morning.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Thanks.

Conference Operator: Our next question comes from Fetty Strickland with Hovde Group.

Speaker 7: I was just hoping you could talk through the drivers of rising non interest income. Is it better wealth revenues that’s really the driver, potentially better mortgage or sort of all of the above?

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: I think it’s this is Duane. I think it’s all of the above. They’re not dramatic impacts across each of the segments that you mentioned wealth management. Of course wealth management is driven by the market, increase in overall performance in the stock market side of the equation helps assets under management. It’s a fee based business.

So that is a positive. We have a significant brokerage business that likewise is impacted positively by improving financial markets. The other big change probably for us mortgage continues to show improvement across the board. So not dramatic, it’s not the historic levels at this point, but improvement over the last several quarters. So all of those things end up contributing to our noninterest income categories.

Speaker 7: Understood. Thanks for that. And then just going back to the M and A discussion, can you refresh us just on your rough criteria in terms of size, geography and maybe earn back in terms of what you’re looking for?

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Sure. So historically, so we operate of course in the Southeast, Mississippi, Alabama, Panhandle, Florida. We have a loan production office in Atlanta. We have Western Tennessee and Houston, Texas. And so what we have typically guided and talked about is the fact contiguous markets to all of those different areas across the Southeastern U.

S. We jumped Louisiana. Louisiana has interest. Arkansas is a great market, very fast growing, especially Northern Arkansas is a very fast growing market. Tennessee is a fast growing market.

Texas speaks for itself. Georgia, part of Florida is all of that is attractive and historically we’ve talked about those markets as being opportunistic for us. In terms of size, it depends on the opportunity. It seems like the 1,000,000,000 to $5,000,000,000 range would be a good range. We haven’t been active in M and A for a period of time.

And to move back in, feels like that would be about the right range to consider. But we’re also opportunistic on other situations that would be additive and help create shareholder value. And so it’s and I would echo the comments I said a few minutes ago. It is amount of discussion and opportunity seems to be increasing in all of those different both geographically and size ranges.

Speaker 7: Got it. That’s helpful. Thanks for taking my questions.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: All right. Thanks.

Conference Operator: This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Duane Dewey for any closing remarks.

Duane Hughes, President and CEO, Trustmark Corporation: Thank you again for participating in our call this morning and we look forward to continuing to build momentum here into the coming quarters and look forward to our next call at the October. Everybody have a great rest of the week.

Conference Operator: The conference call has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.

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