Boeing: FAA Set to Ease 737 Max Production Restrictions – What It Means for Stock

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is preparing to ease restrictions on Boeing’s (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX production and restore the company’s authority to perform final safety checks on aircraft deliveries, according to a Wall Street Journal report on September 26, 2025.

This regulatory shift represents a significant milestone in Boeing’s recovery from years of enhanced scrutiny following two deadly crashes that grounded the aircraft worldwide. The development sent Boeing shares surging 3% in premarket trading, signaling investor confidence in the aerospace giant’s operational rehabilitation.

Regulatory Issues with Boeing’s 737 Max

The FAA’s increased oversight of Boeing began in 2019 following two catastrophic 737 MAX crashes that killed 346 people within five months. Lion Air Flight 610 crashed in October 2018, followed by Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 in March 2019, both attributed to failures in Boeing’s Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS). These accidents triggered the longest grounding in U.S. aviation history, lasting 20 months from March 2019 to November 2020.

The regulatory response was swift and comprehensive. The FAA revoked Boeing’s Organization Designation Authorization in November 2019, stripping the company of its ability to issue airworthiness certificates for individual MAX aircraft. This marked a fundamental shift from the traditional system, where manufacturers could self-certify certain aspects of their aircraft.

The agency also implemented enhanced production oversight, requiring FAA inspectors to directly oversee final safety checks that had previously been delegated to Boeing employees.

Beyond the immediate safety concerns, investigations revealed systemic issues in Boeing’s development and certification process. The company was fined $2.5 billion in January 2021 after pleading guilty to fraud charges related to concealing information about MCAS from regulators and airlines. Congressional investigations criticized both Boeing’s prioritization of profits over safety and the FAA’s regulatory approach, leading to broader reforms in aircraft certification processes.

Current Regulatory Changes and Their Significance for Boeing’s Stock

The planned easing of restrictions represents the FAA’s growing confidence in Boeing’s reformed safety protocols and quality control systems. Under the new arrangement, Boeing employees will resume safety sign-offs in phases, while FAA inspectors will continue to participate in issuing airworthiness certificates required prior to passenger operations. This hybrid approach maintains regulatory oversight while enabling Boeing to achieve greater operational efficiency in its production and delivery processes.

The timing of this announcement is particularly significant given Boeing’s recent challenges. The company faced renewed scrutiny in January 2024 following an Alaska Airlines 737 MAX 9 door plug blowout incident, which temporarily grounded 171 aircraft for inspections. However, the FAA’s decision to restore some certification authority suggests regulators view this as an isolated manufacturing issue rather than a systemic safety concern requiring continued heightened oversight.

For Boeing’s production capabilities, this change could accelerate delivery timelines and reduce operational costs associated with enhanced FAA oversight. The company has maintained production of the 737 MAX throughout the oversight period, but the additional regulatory layers have created bottlenecks in the delivery process. Streamlined certification procedures should help Boeing work through its substantial backlog and meet customer delivery commitments more efficiently.

Boeing’s Stock Gains on Regulatory Update

Boeing stock opened Friday’s premarket trading up 3% following the regulatory news, trading at $223.24 after closing Thursday at $213.53. The positive market reaction reflects investor optimism about improved operational efficiency and reduced regulatory risk. Boeing’s stock has shown strong performance in 2025, with year-to-date returns of 20.64% significantly outpacing the S&P 500’s 12.29% gain.

The company’s financial recovery from the 737 MAX crisis has been substantial but incomplete. Boeing estimated direct costs of $20 billion from the grounding, with indirect losses exceeding $60 billion from cancelled orders and reputational damage. Current analyst price targets range from $150 to $287, with an average of $253.64, suggesting modest upside potential from current levels. The company’s market capitalization stands at $161.46 billion, though it continues to report negative earnings with a diluted EPS of -$16.55.

Looking forward, the regulatory easing should provide multiple financial benefits. Reduced oversight costs, faster delivery cycles, and improved customer confidence could help Boeing accelerate its path to profitability.

The company’s substantial order backlog provides a foundation for revenue growth, while the return of regulatory trust may facilitate new aircraft sales and reduce the risk premium investors have assigned to Boeing shares since the crisis began.

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This article was written by Shane Neagle, editor in chief of The Tokenist.