Currency Analysis & Comment

Yesterday's strong US January CPI release clearly does not provide the Fed with the confidence it needs to start cutting rates. Instead of powering the next leg of the risk rally, the CPI data has...

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The GBP/USD edged higher in reaction to the firmer wages and jobs data from the UK earlier this morning, ahead of the release of even more top-tier data from both sides of the pond.It is inflation...

Ahead of the inflation data tomorrow, the US dollar is trading sideways and hovering near three-month highs. The greenback is currently approaching a key resistance level and could break higher if CPI...

CPI reports in the US and the UK will be in focus this week. We see a greater risk for a lower-than-expected number in the US even though our estimates match consensus, while UK services inflation and...

Today sees one of the key event risks of the week – the annual US CPI benchmarks revisions. The Fed’s current position is that it is looking for confidence in the disinflation process....

The EUR/USD remains bearish, with traders cautious due to uncertain Fed easing expectations. Dollar rally eased as bond yields fell back, supported by stronger ISM services PMI, while Fed officials'...

Cross-market volatility levels remain low as expectations of early easing from the Fed ebb and flow. It is another quiet day for the data calendar and calm conditions are seeing yen-funded carry trade...

The US dollar extended its gains on Monday after a strong ISM services PMI report only added to the view that the Fed would not be in a hurry to ease policy following Friday’s robust jobs...

Recent US economic data, particularly in the manufacturing and services sectors, have strengthened the US dollar. This has created a bearish scenario for GBP/USD, with a key support zone at 1.2530 and...

The US dollar surged to an 8-week high last week, fueled by robust economic data and a hawkish stance from the Fed. After strong data, the Fed might reconsider the three-rate cut plan for 2024,...

The focus in FX markets today is on whether US employment continues on its benign downward path and represents the economy coming into ‘better balance’. Of interest will be whether...

The dollar is doing a little better and equity markets are a little softer after the Federal Reserve pushed back against early easing and US regional banks again hit the headlines. Softer CPI trends...

The EUR/USD has been falling in recent days with the US dollar continuing to find support on the back of reduced expectations over a March rate cut.Despite this moderate bearish trend, I don’t...