Gold: Multi-Cycle Confluence Signals Potential Pivot Toward 360-Day Breakout

Published 22/10/2025, 06:04
Updated 22/10/2025, 08:26

Gold has entered a time-price confluence zone where multiple VC PMI mean reversion levels, Fibonacci structures, and Gann-based time cycles intersect. After peaking near $4,398, the market has broken below both the daily and weekly VC PMI pivots ($4,299 and $4,205 respectively), confirming a short-term bearish momentum phase. Yet beneath the surface, powerful cyclical harmonics suggest this decline may be culminating in a 30–60–90–360-day cycle low — a potential pivot for the next leg of the bull market.

Gold Futures-15-Min Chart

30-Day Cycle — Short-Term Exhaustion

Gold Futures-Projected Cycles

The Gold Futures (GC) line chart projecting price action through the end of October 2025, incorporating the 30-60-90-day cycle forecast.

  • The mid-October decline completes the 30-day cycle low near $4,100–$4,160.

  • Reversion toward $4,205–$4,299 (VC PMI Weekly pivot zone) is anticipated as part of the 60-day up-leg.

  • Resistance at $4,389–$4,586 aligns with the 90-day and Square-of-9 rotation nodes.

  • A sustained close above those levels would confirm a transition into the 360-day bullish expansion phase toward $4,800 +.

The 30-day trading rhythm, rooted in short-term liquidity and trader sentiment, peaked at $4,398 (October 17). From that high, a 5% decline unfolded sharply into the Buy 2 Daily ($4,161) zone. This fulfills the mean reversion probability window expected within the final third of this 30-day oscillation.

  • Interpretation: The next 3–5 trading days (into Oct. 24–25) represent a time-price inflection band, where the market either confirms a short-term bottom or continues toward the deeper 60-day harmonic.

60-Day Cycle — Intermediate Turning Point

The 60-day cycle, measured from the prior swing low of August 21, 2025, aligns with a time pivot window between October 20–28, which coincides precisely with the current breakdown. This alignment is statistically significant: 60-day turns often signal trend reversals in precious metals, particularly when combined with a multi-timeframe VC PMI convergence, as seen here.

  • Cycle Phase: Late-stage contraction.

  • Projection: A rebound to retest $4,260–$4,299 (Daily Pivot / VC PMI Mean) could confirm the 60-day low is in place.

  • Fail scenario: A close below $4,018 would extend the cycle to a 90-day trough.

90-Day Cycle — The Quarterly Rebalance

The 90-day, or quarterly reversion cycle, represents institutional portfolio rotation and macro sentiment adjustments. Anchored from July 21, 2025, this cycle projects a low window in the third week of October, reinforcing the probability that the current decline is a terminal washout phase.

From a structural standpoint, the Sell 1 Weekly ($4,389) level and VC PMI Weekly ($4,205) will act as “confirmation bridges.” Once these are reclaimed, the quarterly bias will turn bullish again with targets of $4,497 → $4,586 → $4,620.

360-Day Cycle — Annual Pivot Realignment

The 360-day macro cycle, measured from October 2024, defines the annual rhythm of accumulation and distribution. Its current harmonic points to a time inversion phase, wherein gold completes its annual mean reversion before entering the next hyperbolic expansion wave projected into Q1 2026.

  • This larger framework aligns with the long-term thesis of gold advancing toward $4,800–$5,200, as global monetary liquidity expands and real yields compress.

  • Historically, the 360-day pivot windows tend to coincide with multi-quarter reversals, such as those observed in August 2020, March 2022, and September 2024.

Current price activity mirrors these inversion setups — deep retracement preceding vertical ascent.

Square of 9 — Price Geometry Alignment

Using Square of 9 geometry, the $4,145 pivot aligns angularly (at ~135° from the $3,825 anchor point) with $4,389 — the prior weekly Sell 1 resistance. This means that geometrically, the market is in perfect harmonic resonance between support and resistance.

  • The next rotational node on the Square of 9 lies at $4,020, which corresponds with the Buy 1 Daily ($4,018) zone.

  • A successful defense of this node suggests rotational energy shifting from contraction to expansion.

  • The next Square of 9 “ascension nodes” fall at $4,389 → $4,497 → $4,586, which coincide precisely with the Sell zones of the VC PMI structure — a mathematical confirmation of symmetry between price geometry and statistical probability.

Synthesis: Time, Price, and Probability Converging

  • Price: Gold sits in the $4,100–$4,160 confluence of Daily and Weekly Buy 2 zones.

  • Time: 30-, 60-, and 90-day cycles all culminate this week (Oct 20–25).

  • Geometry: Square of 9 harmonics validate these price coordinates.

  • Momentum: MACD’s early bullish divergence hints at internal exhaustion of sellers.

This rare overlap suggests that time and price are meeting in a harmonic compression window, setting the stage for a potential V-shaped reversion rally back toward the VC PMI Mean ($4,205–$4,299) and eventually the Sell 1 Weekly ($4,389) area.

Outlook: Mean Reversion or Macro Pivot?

If confirmed, this could mark the start of a 90-to-360-day upcycle, coinciding with a renewed bullish phase into Q1–Q2 2026. The broader geometry projects a reacceleration phase once $4,389 is breached, targeting $4,800–$5,200 by the next annual time spiral in October 2026.

Summary Table — Gold Futures Composite Outlook

Cycle

Time Window

Direction

Key Level

Target

30-Day

Oct 20–25

Bottoming

$4,161

$4,260

60-Day

Oct 20–28

Bottoming

$4,018

$4,299

90-Day

Oct 15–25

Reversal Zone

$4,205

$4,389–$4,497

360-Day

Oct 2024–Oct 2025

Macro Pivot

$3,825–$4,020

$4,800–$5,200

Conclusion:

Gold is completing a multi-timeframe harmonic reversion anchored by the 30-60-90-360-day Gann cycles and Square of 9 geometry. The $4,100–$4,160 zone represents a probable terminal low for this corrective phase.
 A close above $4,205 would validate the start of a new cyclical advance, projecting an upward spiral into early 2026, where price and time converge once more — this time, at the higher octave of the Square of 9 spiral, above $4,800.

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