Gold prices dip as December rate cut bets wane; economic data in focus
Gold has entered a time-price confluence zone where multiple VC PMI mean reversion levels, Fibonacci structures, and Gann-based time cycles intersect. After peaking near $4,398, the market has broken below both the daily and weekly VC PMI pivots ($4,299 and $4,205 respectively), confirming a short-term bearish momentum phase. Yet beneath the surface, powerful cyclical harmonics suggest this decline may be culminating in a 30–60–90–360-day cycle low — a potential pivot for the next leg of the bull market.

30-Day Cycle — Short-Term Exhaustion

The Gold Futures (GC) line chart projecting price action through the end of October 2025, incorporating the 30-60-90-day cycle forecast.
- The mid-October decline completes the 30-day cycle low near $4,100–$4,160.
- Reversion toward $4,205–$4,299 (VC PMI Weekly pivot zone) is anticipated as part of the 60-day up-leg.
- Resistance at $4,389–$4,586 aligns with the 90-day and Square-of-9 rotation nodes.
- A sustained close above those levels would confirm a transition into the 360-day bullish expansion phase toward $4,800 +.
The 30-day trading rhythm, rooted in short-term liquidity and trader sentiment, peaked at $4,398 (October 17). From that high, a 5% decline unfolded sharply into the Buy 2 Daily ($4,161) zone. This fulfills the mean reversion probability window expected within the final third of this 30-day oscillation.
- Interpretation: The next 3–5 trading days (into Oct. 24–25) represent a time-price inflection band, where the market either confirms a short-term bottom or continues toward the deeper 60-day harmonic.
60-Day Cycle — Intermediate Turning Point
The 60-day cycle, measured from the prior swing low of August 21, 2025, aligns with a time pivot window between October 20–28, which coincides precisely with the current breakdown. This alignment is statistically significant: 60-day turns often signal trend reversals in precious metals, particularly when combined with a multi-timeframe VC PMI convergence, as seen here.
- Cycle Phase: Late-stage contraction.
- Projection: A rebound to retest $4,260–$4,299 (Daily Pivot / VC PMI Mean) could confirm the 60-day low is in place.
- Fail scenario: A close below $4,018 would extend the cycle to a 90-day trough.
90-Day Cycle — The Quarterly Rebalance
The 90-day, or quarterly reversion cycle, represents institutional portfolio rotation and macro sentiment adjustments. Anchored from July 21, 2025, this cycle projects a low window in the third week of October, reinforcing the probability that the current decline is a terminal washout phase.
From a structural standpoint, the Sell 1 Weekly ($4,389) level and VC PMI Weekly ($4,205) will act as “confirmation bridges.” Once these are reclaimed, the quarterly bias will turn bullish again with targets of $4,497 → $4,586 → $4,620.
360-Day Cycle — Annual Pivot Realignment
The 360-day macro cycle, measured from October 2024, defines the annual rhythm of accumulation and distribution. Its current harmonic points to a time inversion phase, wherein gold completes its annual mean reversion before entering the next hyperbolic expansion wave projected into Q1 2026.
- This larger framework aligns with the long-term thesis of gold advancing toward $4,800–$5,200, as global monetary liquidity expands and real yields compress.
- Historically, the 360-day pivot windows tend to coincide with multi-quarter reversals, such as those observed in August 2020, March 2022, and September 2024.
Current price activity mirrors these inversion setups — deep retracement preceding vertical ascent.
Square of 9 — Price Geometry Alignment
Using Square of 9 geometry, the $4,145 pivot aligns angularly (at ~135° from the $3,825 anchor point) with $4,389 — the prior weekly Sell 1 resistance. This means that geometrically, the market is in perfect harmonic resonance between support and resistance.
- The next rotational node on the Square of 9 lies at $4,020, which corresponds with the Buy 1 Daily ($4,018) zone.
- A successful defense of this node suggests rotational energy shifting from contraction to expansion.
- The next Square of 9 “ascension nodes” fall at $4,389 → $4,497 → $4,586, which coincide precisely with the Sell zones of the VC PMI structure — a mathematical confirmation of symmetry between price geometry and statistical probability.
Synthesis: Time, Price, and Probability Converging
- Price: Gold sits in the $4,100–$4,160 confluence of Daily and Weekly Buy 2 zones.
- Time: 30-, 60-, and 90-day cycles all culminate this week (Oct 20–25).
- Geometry: Square of 9 harmonics validate these price coordinates.
- Momentum: MACD’s early bullish divergence hints at internal exhaustion of sellers.
This rare overlap suggests that time and price are meeting in a harmonic compression window, setting the stage for a potential V-shaped reversion rally back toward the VC PMI Mean ($4,205–$4,299) and eventually the Sell 1 Weekly ($4,389) area.
Outlook: Mean Reversion or Macro Pivot?
If confirmed, this could mark the start of a 90-to-360-day upcycle, coinciding with a renewed bullish phase into Q1–Q2 2026. The broader geometry projects a reacceleration phase once $4,389 is breached, targeting $4,800–$5,200 by the next annual time spiral in October 2026.
Summary Table — Gold Futures Composite Outlook
|
Cycle |
Time Window |
Direction |
Key Level |
Target |
|
30-Day |
Oct 20–25 |
Bottoming |
$4,161 |
$4,260 |
|
60-Day |
Oct 20–28 |
Bottoming |
$4,018 |
$4,299 |
|
90-Day |
Oct 15–25 |
Reversal Zone |
$4,205 |
$4,389–$4,497 |
|
360-Day |
Oct 2024–Oct 2025 |
Macro Pivot |
$3,825–$4,020 |
$4,800–$5,200 |
Conclusion:
Gold is completing a multi-timeframe harmonic reversion anchored by the 30-60-90-360-day Gann cycles and Square of 9 geometry. The $4,100–$4,160 zone represents a probable terminal low for this corrective phase.
A close above $4,205 would validate the start of a new cyclical advance, projecting an upward spiral into early 2026, where price and time converge once more — this time, at the higher octave of the Square of 9 spiral, above $4,800.
TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
