Gold Rally Toward $4,120, Entering October Acceleration Window

Published 13/10/2025, 18:28
Updated 13/10/2025, 18:34

Gold futures are entering a critical acceleration phase as price action has decisively re-entered the bullish quadrant above both the daily and weekly VC PMI pivots near $4,000. The surge to $4,120 confirms the completion of the mean reversion from the weekly Buy 1 zone ($3,912), triggering a cascade of technical confirmations aligned with the 30-day Gann cycle and Square-of-Nine harmonic expansion. This synchronized convergence of price and time marks the early stages of what may become the October–November acceleration window within the larger 360-day advance that began at the December 2024 anchor.

Gold Futures (GC)

From a mean-reversion perspective, the VC PMI AI model identifies $4,003 as the equilibrium point. The market’s sustained trade above this level, combined with its breakout through the Sell 1 ($4,039) and Sell 2 ($4,078) targets, signals a shift in probability distribution toward the upper quartile of the weekly trading range. This breakout pattern also validates a bullish crossover of short-term momentum indicators, while the MACD divergence is on the verge of turning positive—suggesting latent energy that can extend the rally through the month-end Gann window.

The Square-of-Nine projection shows key resistance harmonics clustering around $4,160, $4,225, and $4,305, correlating to the next 45- and 90-degree rotations from the $4,000 base. These levels often act as “vibration nodes,” where prior energy equilibrium can reverse or accelerate, depending on volume confirmation. The alignment of the Sell 2 Weekly ($4,169) within this cluster suggests that a break and close above this area could ignite an impulsive extension toward $4,250–$4,350 before the next 30-day time rotation.

Gold Futures - Square-of-Nine Projection

Time analysis indicates the October 15–18 window as a potential inflection point—representing one complete 30-day Gann rotation from the September low. Historically, when gold synchronizes with a positive monthly cycle within a 360-day expansion phase, the following 30- to 45-day period produces outsized returns before mean reversion occurs. The projected extension through October 31—illustrated in the chart—suggests continued strength toward $4,350–$4,400 if momentum persists, completing a harmonic 180-degree move from the $3,825 pivot.

In essence, gold’s current trajectory blends mathematical symmetry with cyclical timing. The market is transitioning from accumulation to acceleration, reflecting renewed institutional inflows into precious metals amid inflationary and geopolitical undercurrents. As long as gold holds above the $4,000–$3,912 support band, the bullish 360-day framework remains intact, projecting a Q1 2026 target above $4,500, where both price and time harmonics converge for the next major cycle top.

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