Gold Steady as Traders Balance Fed Uncertainty, Technical Cues, and Profit-Taking

Published 26/08/2025, 09:47
Updated 26/08/2025, 09:52

Gold futures traded sideways on Tuesday after paring earlier gains sparked by fresh safe-haven demand. Prices briefly touched $3,434.70/oz in early Asian trading before settling back to $3,417.70/oz. The move came after President Trump announced the removal of Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve’s board of governors, raising fresh questions about the central bank’s independence and prompting a brief selloff in the dollar.

Although prices normalized later in the session, the broader backdrop for gold remains supportive. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech last Friday has strengthened expectations for near-term interest rate cuts. Lower rates typically boost demand for non-yielding bullion, while policy uncertainty reinforces gold’s role as a hedge.

Technical Picture: Bulls Retain the Upper Hand

From a technical standpoint, Comex gold futures remain poised to test resistance at $3,400/oz, according to RHB Retail Research. Analyst Joseph Chai notes that a recent “Doji” candlestick pattern shows a balance between bulls and bears, but the advantage leans toward the bulls. Futures are currently trading above their 20- and 50-day simple moving averages, while the Relative Strength Index has crossed the 50% threshold, signaling upward momentum.

If positive momentum continues, Chai adds, gold could break firmly above $3,400/oz and target the next resistance level near $3,500/oz. Spot gold was last up 0.3% at $3,375.79/oz, according to LSEG data.

Profit-Taking Adds to Near-Term Volatility

At the same time, gold prices slipped 0.4% to $3,353.14/oz in early Asian trade in what analysts described as routine profit-taking. XS.com’s Rania Gule emphasized that the move was corrective rather than structural, with the fundamental drivers of gold — dovish monetary policy expectations and elevated geopolitical risks — still firmly intact.

This suggests that while short-term pullbacks are possible, the underlying momentum favors further upside. The combination of political pressure on the Fed, Powell’s softer stance on rates, and lingering global uncertainties could keep investors positioned on the long side of gold, even if near-term profit-taking temporarily caps gains.

Outlook

With Fed independence under political scrutiny and Powell’s Jackson Hole speech tilting dovish, the environment for gold remains constructive. Technical signals point toward a potential breakout, while profit-taking episodes highlight the push-and-pull dynamics of a market hovering near record highs. For traders, the $3,400/oz level remains the key line to watch — a sustained break above it could open the door to $3,500/oz in the sessions ahead.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.