Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Is Tesla Stock An Even Riskier Bet After Elon Musk's Twitter Deal?

Published 06/05/2022, 08:46
Updated 02/09/2020, 07:05
  • Tesla's market capitalization slumped after Elon Musk announced Twitter interest
  • To reduce risk, Musk has secured new financing
  • Some analysts think the deal could be a big distraction for Tesla's co-founder
  • For tools, data, and content to help you make better investing decisions, try InvestingPro+.

The world's largest electric-vehicle maker, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), has lost more than $228 billion in market capitalization since its billionaire founder, Elon Musk, first disclosed his intention to buy the social media platform Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) on Apr. 4.

Those figures represent a near 20% loss to the company's $1.187 trillion market cap, recorded before Musk's announcement. TSLA closed Thursday at $873.28.

TSLA Weekly Chart

Although the broad market environment has contributed to the selloff, Musk's Twitter deal does play a significant role. Investors wonder if the billionaire will tap into his stake in Tesla to help fund the proposed $44 billion takeover.

Musk had lined up $13 billion in bank financing, $12.5 billion in margin loans backed by Tesla shares, and committed to another $21 billion himself to acquire the social media company.

However, in the latest development reported yesterday, Musk told the press he had secured about $7.1 billion of new financing commitments, including billionaire Larry Ellison, a Saudi Prince, and Sequoia Capital.

Those figures would allow him to cut by half the size of a margin loan to $6.25 billion, making the deal less risky for both Musk and his lenders. The new arrangement also slightly reduces the cash Musk needs to put up personally.

The billionaire recently completed a more than $8 billion sale of Tesla shares, seen as likely related to the Twitter deal. Late last year, he also sold more than $15 billion in shares that would help him cover taxes on his vested options. Furthermore, in June 2021, Tesla reported that about half of Musk's stake in the company served as collateral for personal borrowing.

The Next Big Question

Assuming Musk will be able to close the Twitter deal by the end of this year, the next big question that still troubles many investors is whether the world's richest man could be spreading himself too thin taking on this new challenge?

These concerns are especially relevant if Musk assumes a full-time role in the newly acquired company. CNBC reported yesterday he plans to serve as a temporary CEO of Twitter for a few months after completing the transaction.

According to a recent analysis in the Wall Street Journal, more than half of Tesla's valuation relies on future projects heavily dependent on Musk. These include driverless robotaxis, which he hopes to start making in 2024, and its robot project Optimus, which he said would ultimately be worth more than the car business and the driverless-car operation.

The analysis adds:

"The company seems to have enough investors that take him at his word. The question is what they will think if he starts saying less about Tesla and more about Twitter.

His leadership of space-exploration company SpaceX shows his unusual capacity to multitask. But just how much vision does one man have, and in how many different directions can it be focused?"

Tesla bulls, however, continue to back Musk and his vision to unlock Twitter's value. Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush who has a $1,400 price target on Tesla, says in a note that today's financing announcement removes a considerable overhang. He adds:

"This was a smart financial and strategic move by Musk that will be well received across the board and shows the Twitter deal is now on a glide path to get done by the end of this year, which should close the arb spread in the name."

Bottom Line

Musk's involvement in Twitter is another distraction that Tesla's investors have to deal with, especially when the competition in the EV market is heating up.

Musk is undoubtedly taking a good deal of risk by using Tesla shares as collateral even after securing new commitments. If the electric carmaker's shares go through a deep slump, that could add to further uncertainty about the company's holdings.

Looking to get up to speed on your next idea? With InvestingPro+, you can find:

  • Any company’s financials for the last 10 years
  • Financial health scores for profitability, growth, and more
  • A fair value calculated from dozens of financial models
  • Quick comparison to the company’s peers
  • Fundamental and performance charts

And a lot more. Get all the key data fast, so you can make an informed decision, with InvestingPro+. Learn More »

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.