Market Overview

Recent data for the US economy reflect a mixed profile, but several widely followed business-cycle indicators are screaming recession.A pair of Treasury yield curves are signaling that the odds are...

Critics fault new budget for failure to plan for long-term growth US quiet ahead of Thanksgiving holiday as investors anticipate lower rate hikes ECB policymakers show little enthusiasm for another...

The FTX saga and Sam Bankman-Fried's illegal and extremely unethical actions capture much of the financial press’s attention right now. For good reason. The real-life story has echoes of...

The Dow Jones has sharply outperformed the Transportation Average The former is on the cusp of breaking out above its August peak The latter is well underneath its summer high Technicians can easily...

• Consumer earnings, data could be catalysts for broader market• The real story is the Fed• Worst yield inversion in 40 years• Reevaluation of the trendThere is an argument to be...

Although there have been hints that the worst of the selling has passed, there’s still plenty of room for skepticism, based on trends for key markets via a set of ETF pairs for prices through...

Speculation that the Federal Reserve is close to pausing its rate hikes took a hit this week after a Fed official downplayed the odds in a TV interview on Wednesday.“Pausing is off the table...

The recovery in US economic activity in the third quarter appears set to continue in Q4, based on the median for a set of estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Although the numbers point to a...

Dollar, Treasury yields must keep falling for gold to achieve $1,850 target Fed rate pivot in December also crucial for gold rally If Fed goes ahead with 50 bp hike, could still rise $30-50 an...

Last hoorah for Q3 earnings with household-name retailers reporting Bouts of volatility with some of these stocks in 2022 Take a cautious stance owning the group heading into year-end Earnings season...

Fed governor warns against overreacting to October decline in CPI Fed funds futures show Fed rate topping 5% by spring German labor unions seek big wage hikes as ECB worries about inflation Investors...

The major asset classes continued to recover in the trading week through Friday, Nov. 11, based on a set of ETF proxies. The lone exception: a broad measure of commodities.Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real...

Dollar endured one of its largest weekly drops in 15 years last week Commodities as a whole did not rally, surprising many macro traders European markets among biggest beneficiaries of a weaker...

Despite what you may have read last week, the downward surprise in inflation is not a sign that inflation is about to collapse, that the Fed has won, and that rates will soon be in full-throated...