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Fed hopes to maintain credibility on inflation while slowing hikes Political considerations start to weigh on monetary tightening UK opts for stability as Sunak seeks to restore orthodox economic...
Stocks rallied on Friday, despite being down sharply 30 minutes before the opening. A WSJ article noted that the Fed was going to discuss the pace of future rate hikes following another 75 bps rate...
Bond market behavior last week was somewhat disturbing as 10-year nominal rates shot past 4% and 10-year real rates got as high as 1.75% before pulling back a trifle. This was despite Fed speakers...
The relationship between treasuries and stocks cannot be taken for granted Corporate earnings and central bank meetings will test the market rebound Bear markets also include upward rallies; that...
Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms report next week FAAMG guidance updates likely dictate market’s direction through year-end With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite...
Financial conditions have tightened over the past several weeks but have failed to reach restrictive levels, and that would suggest the Fed's job is far from over. The Chicago Fed National Financial...
Arabica coffee down 12% so far for Oct, the most since 13% drop in Sept 2020 Brazil has harvested too much and more beans could be coming ahead of La Nina $1.90 might be a support, otherwise low of...
UK shows fiscal malfeasance can be even worse than monetary policy mistakes Focus shifts to Fed as high U.S. CPI affirms strong rate hike Political vacuum limits initiatives as U.S. absorbed in...
The macro climate and the realization that COVID growth rates were only temporary are severely damaging PayPal's stock However, the company remains strong operationally and can continue to grow EPS at...
Dollar’s rally of over 25% is making investment magazine covers Some technicians calling a potential peak in sentiment and a bearish price reversal DXY trend remains high and Fed likely focused...
Fed Chairman Powell under fire as Bernanke wins Nobel Prize for Economics ECB under pressure to play catch-up with Fed Markets test new governments in UK and Italy Central bankers are stepping into...
The September jobs report was the first market-shaking event for volatility traders CPI, Retail Sales, and corporate earnings begin this week FOMC rate decision and the U.S. midterm elections take...
Last week, I reminded readers that high-inflation environments are associated with lower equity multiples, all else being equal, and that that phenomenon has been true for more than a hundred years....
Q3 earnings season expected to be a major test for the market S&P 500 Q3 earnings growth of 2.9% and revenue growth of 8.7% Energy, Industrials likely to stand out Financials, Communication...
I was thinking about the market and what is potentially behind this stupid rally, and at heart, this seems like nothing more than an oversold bounce, given a lot of bond market dislocation last week....