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Double Top Formation
- First top: Aug 7 high ~24,047 (Weekly Sell 1).
- Second top: Aug 15 high ~24,068.5.
- These Nasdaq highs cluster tightly within the Square of 9 resistance band (23,962–24,047), reinforcing the geometry of resistance.
- Neckline: 23,101 (Weekly Buy 1). A confirmed break below would activate the bearish double top projection toward 22,489 and potentially deeper.
Gann 360-Day Cycle Context
- The current cycle began Sept 28, 2024, with a projected low due Sept 28, 2025.
- The Aug 15 peak aligns with the 330° point in the 360-day cycle, often a major topping window.
From the cycle view:
- Top formation (Aug 7–15) = exhaustion high into the final 45 days of the cycle.
- Next (LON:NXT) harmonic: 360° completion on Sept 28, 2025 → statistically high probability of cycle low.
This means the current double top could represent the terminal high before the final cycle decline.
Square of 9 Price Geometry
Using the Square of 9, key harmonics relative to the pivot zones:
- 23,101 (neckline) → falls near a 270° level, which often marks support/decision points.
- 24,047–24,068 (tops) → align closely with a 360° completion from the last significant swing low (July 18 pivot).
- Projection down:
- First downside target: 22,489 (Weekly Buy 2), corresponding to a 180° Square of 9 retracement from the top.
- Extended target: 21,900–21,750 → aligns with 225° level on the Square of 9 spiral, in harmony with the Gann cycle low window.
- First downside target: 22,489 (Weekly Buy 2), corresponding to a 180° Square of 9 retracement from the top.
VC PMI Alignment
- Weekly VC PMI = 23,435. Current settlement (23,161.75) is below equilibrium, confirming bearish mean reversion bias.
- If 23,435 is not recovered, odds favor testing 23,101 (neckline) and 22,489 (Weekly Buy 2).
- Reclaiming 23,435 would neutralize the double top and suggest a re-test of 23,799–23,962 (daily sells).
Synthesis – Market Outlook
- The double top at ~24,000 is not just a chart pattern — it sits at a Gann 330° timing window and a Square of 9 360° resistance.
- The 360-day Gann cycle projects weakness into late September, aligning with a downside target cluster at 22,489 → 21,750.
- Momentum (MACD) confirms bearish divergence, strengthening the case for a cycle decline into the Sept 28, 2025 window.
Conclusion
This is a classic double top reinforced by both time (Gann) and price geometry (Square of 9 & VC PMI). Unless 23,435 is recovered quickly, the probabilities strongly favor a breakdown toward 22,489 and possibly 21,750, completing the 360-day cycle low by late September.
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