When the U.S. Dollar broke out to new highs last year, it looked like nothing could stop the greenback. And the headwind of a strengthening dollar made it difficult for precious metals like gold and silver to advance.
BUT… King Dollar has fallen nearly 15% from its highs, and 3 of the past 4 months have closed near the critical support zone of 100-102. This suggests that there has been little conviction of late. And this has provided a tailwind for precious metals.
The long-term monthly U.S. dollar chart (below) highlights the breakout above the “red arrows” zone (100-102), along with the recent testing of that zone.
Note that the 2% zone of 100-102 has been support or resistance numerous times over the past 8-years, making this a critically important area to watch on a monthly closing basis.
Precious metals bulls should experience a fun price ride should support fail to hold here.
Definitely, something to watch. Stay tuned!