Silver at Cycle Pivot: VC PMI, Gann, and Harmonics Align at 44.50

Market Context

Silver futures are navigating a critical turning point, trading near 44.50 after surging to 45.39 and reversing sharply. This behavior is not random—it reflects the market’s inherent geometry between price and time, where momentum cycles exhaust into mean reversion.

The Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) levels provide the near-term map, while Gann’s cyclical framework and Square of 9 harmonics extend the perspective across days, weeks, and months. When synchronized, these tools expose the hidden architecture of silver’s market rhythm.

VC PMI Map – Precision in Price

The daily VC PMI framework defined the exact boundaries of this rally:

• Buy 2 (43.90) / Weekly Sell 1 (43.77) created the anchor demand zone, where buyers entered aggressively.
  
  
• The explosive move carried silver to Daily Sell 2 (44.77) and beyond, peaking at 45.39—a near-perfect exhaustion of the upper boundary.
  
  
• The immediate reversion back toward the VC PMI mean (44.34) highlights the mean reversion principle at work, a recurring law of market equilibrium.
  
  

This confirms that VC PMI is not just levels—it is the governing structure that price oscillates around.

Gann Cycles – Time as the Invisible Market Dimension

Where VC PMI explains the price reversion map, Gann cycles explain when price is most likely to turn.

1. 360-Day Cycle (Major) – The long-term anchor is September 28, 2025, projected as a cycle low. The rally into 45.39, just days before this date, suggests that the market is baselining into a major cyclical low, preparing for a sustained bullish campaign.
   
   
2. 30-Day Cycle (Short-Term) – The next short-term cycle projects into October 17–18, 2025, where silver could attempt a swing high, assuming momentum holds.
   
   
3. 45-Day Cycle (Intermediate) – Extending into November 1, 2025, often marking exhaustion of short-term bullish runs. If silver rallies into this window, expect volatility and possible profit-taking.
   
   
4. 90-Day Cycle (Quarterly) – December 15, 2025, is the quarterly pivot. Historically, silver reacts strongly at these junctures, often leading into seasonal rallies into year-end.
   
   

This temporal roadmap tells us that the market’s pulse is synchronized with the late-September low, and the October–December cycle structure favors higher prices into Q4.

Square of 9 Harmonics – The Geometry of Price

The Square of 9 wheel translates raw price levels into harmonic vibrations:

• 43.90–43.77 (Buy Zone) → aligned with a full 360° rotation, reinforcing this area as a natural support anchor.
  
  
• 44.34 (VC PMI Mean) → near 90° harmonic, balancing price equilibrium.
  
  
• 45.39 (recent high) → aligns with a 180° rotation from 43.90, validating it as a resistance completion point.
  
  
• 46.25–46.40 → next 270° harmonic extension, which becomes the upside target if momentum sustains above 44.77.
  
  

In harmonic terms, the market has completed a half rotation (180°) and is now setting the stage for a three-quarter rotation (270°) into the 46.40 zone.

Integrated Outlook

Bringing these frameworks together:

• Short-Term (1–5 days): Silver is consolidating between 44.34 (mean) and 44.77 (Sell 2). If equilibrium holds above the mean, another test of 45.00+ is probable.
  
  
• Medium-Term (2–3 weeks, 30-day cycle): Into October 17, bullish momentum could extend silver toward 46.25–46.40, aligning with Square of 9 harmonics.
  
  
• Intermediate-Term (45–90 days): The November 1–December 15 cycle window may see profit-taking and corrections, but the broader setup suggests a year-end rally.
  
  
• Long-Term (360-day cycle): The September 28 low is pivotal. Holding above 43.77 confirms this as a major cycle low, with potential to launch silver into 48–50+ into year-end or early 2026.
  
  

Conclusion – Geometry of Reversion

Silver’s recent rally and reversion is not noise—it is the manifestation of price and time geometry. The VC PMI gave us the exact intraday exhaustion at 45.39, Gann cycles pinpoint the September 28 low as a major pivot, and Square of 9 harmonics extend the roadmap toward 46.40 and beyond.

If 43.77 holds as the cycle low, silver may be entering a new bullish phase, with 46.40 as the first harmonic gateway and 50.00 as the long-term projection.

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