Stock market today: S&P 500 falls as government shutdown, trade jitters persist
Market Overview
Silver futures are consolidating at $49.48, correcting from the October 7 high at $52.49. This move reflects a 30-day Gann crest correction within the larger 360-day bullish master cycle that began on September 28, 2024. The VC PMI Daily Mean sits at $49.58, defining the current equilibrium. Below this, the Buy 1 ($48.28) and Weekly VC PMI ($47.97) zones anchor the mean-reversion corridor now acting as accumulation.
The 30-Day and 360-Day Gann Time Spiral
Silver Futures Mean Reversion & Gann Cycle Map (October–November 2025)
The chart above visualizes the VC PMI algorithmic levels (Buy 1–2, Sell 1–2, and Weekly PMI) alongside key Gann and Square-of-9 cycle dates:
- Oct 14–18, 2025: 30-day crest correction zone
- Oct 22–26, 2025: 30–360-day cycle convergence window
- Nov 12–15, 2025: projected 30-day cycle low
- Nov 25–29, 2025: Square-of-9 target window for the next upward thrust
These align with the mean-reversion range between $46.12–$53.04, framing a potential bullish re-accumulation ahead of the next 30-day cycle surge into late November.
- Sept 28 2024: 360-day base ignition.
- Oct 14–18 2025: 30-day crest correction phase.
- Oct 22–26 2025: 30/360-day convergence — high-probability reversal window.
- Nov 12–15 2025: Next 30-day cycle low expected.
- Nov 25–29 2025: Square-of-9 resonance target for upward extension.
Each harmonic reflects the law of vibration Gann described — time governs price.
The confluence of the 30-day retracement with the 360-day return vibration makes Oct 22–26 a pivotal temporal gateway.
Square-of-9 Geometric Resonance
Arc |
Level |
Function |
Time Window |
180° |
$46.12 |
Polarity / Buy 2 support |
Oct 21–23 2025 |
225° |
$48.28 |
Mean-reversion magnet |
Oct 14–18 2025 |
270° |
$49.58 |
VC PMI equilibrium |
Continuous |
360° |
$52.49 |
Exhaustion / double-vibration peak |
Oct 7 2025 |
45° ↑ |
$55.80–$57.00 |
Next harmonic resistance |
Nov 25–29 2025 |
These angles represent the mathematical rhythm through which market energy rotates.
The decline into $48–$47 is a geometric reset, not a failure — price descending through the 225° arc before coiling for the next ascent toward the 45° upper spiral.
Technical & Probabilistic Outlook
Parameter |
Level |
Bias |
Daily VC PMI |
$49.58 |
Neutral pivot |
Weekly VC PMI |
$47.97 |
Structural support |
Buy 1–Buy 2 |
$48.28 / $46.12 |
Accumulation zone |
Sell 1–Sell 2 |
$51.74 / $53.04 |
Distribution zone |
Next Target |
$55–$57 |
Expansion objective |
Short-term (Oct 14–23): Corrective/mean-reverting.
Mid-term (Oct 24–31): 30–360 cycle convergence → potential reversal.
Long-term (Nov 25–29): Breakout window targeting $55–$57.
A daily close above $50.20 will confirm renewed bullish momentum.
Failure below $46.12 would delay but not negate the larger 360-day advance projecting into Feb–Mar 2026.
Strategic Interpretation
The current pattern exemplifies a “reversion before expansion” dynamic.
VC PMI probability analysis signals an 80 % mean-reversion likelihood between $47.97 and $49.58, implying optimal risk-reward conditions for long accumulation ahead of the next 30-day pulse.
The 360-day rhythm remains dominant — silver’s structural uptrend remains intact until violated on a closing basis below $44.70 (Weekly Buy 2).
The VC PMI AI Framework
The Variable-Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) integrates statistical mean-reversion, Gann-cycle timing, and Square-of-9 geometry to forecast the convergence of time and price.
Through adaptive AI back-testing, the model quantifies probability zones where reversion or expansion are statistically favored — identifying when the market’s emotional extremes intersect with mathematical equilibrium.
Conclusion & Cycle Outlook
Silver is entering the Oct 22–30 convergence window, a rare harmonic overlap where 30-, 90-, and 360-day cycles resonate.
Expect elevated volatility followed by directional resolution into late November.
Holding support at $47.97–$48.28 confirms strength; a surge through $51.74 re-energizes the $55–$57 objective.
Beyond November, the model projects a larger 360-day apex into February–March 2026, possibly extending silver’s super-cycle toward $60–$65.
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Trading futures, ETFs, or derivatives involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The analysis above reflects probability models, not guarantees. Always use risk-defined strategies.