Silver Enters High-Probability Expansion Zone as Cycles Align Bullishly

Published 19/11/2025, 18:13
Updated 19/11/2025, 18:16

Silver futures have completed one of the cleanest mean-reversion cycles of the quarter, transitioning from a hyperbolic blowoff top at $54.415 into a technically precise rotational decline and now a re-acceleration phase. The blowoff peak aligned perfectly with the Daily Sell 2 and Weekly Sell 1 resistance zones, as well as the 100% Fibonacci projection — a textbook VC PMI exhaustion structure. When price reached this upper boundary, the model correctly anticipated a high-probability reversal, which unfolded in a controlled decline into the Daily Buy 1 and Buy 2 regions.

Silver Futures

The market found structural support at $49.115, sitting athletically between the Daily Buy 2 zone and the Weekly Buy 1 of $47.81. This produced a sharp reversal as algorithmic buying returned precisely where the VC PMI probabilities indicated a 90% likelihood of reversion back toward the mean. The immediate snapback above the Daily VC PMI of $50.22 and the reclaiming of the Weekly VC PMI at $51.12 have restored both the short-term and intermediate-term bullish bias.

Cycle structures reinforce the technical picture. The 30-day cycle, which began its expansion from the November pivot low near $46.50, remains in its upward phase. This cycle typically produces strong vertical movements, shallow retracements, and continuation windows — exactly what we are observing. The 60-day cycle is approaching its mid-expansion phase, suggesting volatility will continue to compress until a larger breakout force emerges toward the end of November. The 90-day cycle supports a bullish trajectory into mid-December, while the 360-day cycle, anchored from the September 28, 2025 major pivot, projects acceleration into late Q4 with upside targets extending into the $54.50–$56.00 region.

Silver Futures

Currently, silver is trading above the Daily Mean and Daily Sell 1 ($51.33) and is pressing into the Daily Sell 2 at $52.15. A daily close above this level will trigger the next upside extension toward $53.10, $53.80, and the full retest of $54.40. A breakout above $54.41 would activate the next hyperbolic sequence with Fibonacci extensions pointing toward $57–$60.

Downside support remains well-defined. A pullback into $50.60, $50.22, or $49.41 would maintain the broader bullish structure and invite strategic accumulation.

Silver is now entering a high-probability expansion zone — with cycles, VC PMI, and price geometry synchronized for a potential December advance.

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