Small Caps Lead the Comeback as Broader Markets Struggle After Tariff Shock

Published 15/10/2025, 05:15
Updated 15/10/2025, 08:10

A real mixed bag for markets. All indices were hit hard by Friday’s Trump Tariff Special, but Small Caps (IWM) are the only one trying to make a comeback.

Volume rose in confirmed accumulation, but it was below the volume of Friday. Technicals are mixed, but there was a surge in the relative performance of the index over its peers.IWM-Daily Chart

For other indices, today’s action wasn’t too great. Friday’s big sell has dominated action since, and today’s ’spinning top’ in the S&P 500 on a successful test of the 50-day MA is not great. Add to that, volume rose in distribution. I would be looking for sellers to add to the pressure tomorrow.

SPX-Daily Chart

It was a similar story for the Nasdaq. The only difference is that it hasn’t yet tested its 50-day MA, so we may yet to see an undercut of Friday’s low on expanding technical weakness.COMPQ-Daily Chart

If there is an asset that most represents the bearish cause, it’s Bitcoin. Having flashed a ’bull trap’ it now finds itself toying with trading range support (with its 200-day MA nearby). If this gives up $107.5K, then look for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to follow suit with a comparable loss of its support.

BTC/USD-Daily Chart

The Dow Industrial Average is doing a little better than the Nasdaq and S&P 500, with a successful test of its 50-day MA on confirmed accumulation. If there are buyers out there looking for a trade, this is the index to pursue.Dow Jones-Daily Chart

Sentiment is moving bearish, and while indices are extended, they are not hyperextended. Taking profits is a smart play, but no reason to do a broadside sell-off.

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