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Yesterday’s “Liberation Day” took the market hostage today as the Trump Administration introduced counter-tariffs that were higher than expected. People are “terrified”- pun intended. However, while...
Market concerns about stagflation are fueled by tariffs impacting inflation and growth. Current bearish market trends suggest that resistance levels are now above previous key support...
Well I think the market finally realized that Trump was serious about his tariffs. I mentioned it on Sunday. As noted then, I think he is pretty serious about this stuff. Trump has been telling us...
I had kind of written them off as support, but March lows are holding up better than I thought they would. I have marked in the updated measured move targets for the various indices derived from the...
Over a month, the S&P 500 index is down 5%. Although this makes shareholders uneasy, it is at times like these that make stock investing worthwhile for the long-haul. If history teaches us...
In last week’s post, “Is the correction over?” we wrote about the S&P 500's potential for a rally back to the 200-DMA. However, the failure of that test increased short-term concerns. As we noted...
Gold just smashed through $3,150—but how long can the rally hold? With markets bracing for Trump’s next tariff twist, haven demand isn’t going anywhere just yet. Still, even gold might need a...
On Sunday, we reduced the odds of our Roaring 2020s base-case scenario from 65% to 55% and raised the odds of a stagflationary scenario from 35% to 45%. The latter includes the possibility of a...
Measuring shifts in uncertainty is a slippery beast, but it’s easier to intuit when big changes unfold vs. the recent past. We’re knee-deep in one of those moments. One of the tell-tale signs is that...
Last week, we noted that the market performance, while distressing as of late, has been well within regular correctionary market cycles from a historical perspective. To wit: “While Trump’s tariffs...
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