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The volatility crush on Tuesday was larger than I expected, especially since the VIX1D barely topped 16 on Monday. Still, it was enough to lift S&P 500 futures about 60 bps at the open, after...
Stocks instead took the CPI number as confirmation that September is shaping up to be the long-anticipated “insurance cut” in an economy still treading water above the break-even line. Tuesday’s...
When I left for holidays, the Russell 2000 (IWM) made a breakout, only to dip below breakout support. But upon return, the Russell 2000 ($IWM) has gone on to make a new breakout on higher volume...
Trade policy continued to dominate market conversations this past week as the Trump administration’s full tariffs took effect early Thursday morning. Imports from most countries now face 10 percent...
Using the US stock market as a guide suggests that business-cycle conditions remain strong in terms of the recovery since the current economic expansion began in May 2020. The rebound in equities is...
Semiconductors initially were exempt from the tariffs President Donald Trump announced on imports from Taiwan and elsewhere, but their rarified status may be about to end. President Trump said on...
Today is a pivotal day for the market, with the CPI report due and a large Treasury settlement—the first of three this week. The CPI swaps market may prove most important, as inflation expectations...
US exceptionalism still stands strong. Each week, our team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts. 1. US Stocks Have Overtaken Europe in 2025 (In Local Currencies) Many investors...
Meme stock trading has returned in force. As discussed last week, the fear of missing out (FOMO) continues to dominate investor sentiment. The meme stock movement is again dominated by speculative...
There will be three large Treasury settlements on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday, with roughly $130 billion set to be drained from the overnight funding market. The reverse repo facility ended the...
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