Agree Realty stock holds Market Perform at JMP Securities

Published 30/04/2025, 10:24
Agree Realty stock holds Market Perform at JMP Securities

On Wednesday, JMP Securities maintained a Market Perform rating on Agree Realty Corporation (NYSE:ADC), following the company’s recent move to increase its financial flexibility. Agree Realty, known for its net-lease real estate investments and its impressive 32-year dividend maintenance streak, conducted an equity offering last week, adding to its already strong balance sheet. The offering is part of the company’s strategic approach to maintain an aggressive stance in the investment market, building on its robust YTD return of 10.89%.

Agree Realty’s solid liquidity and low leverage were highlighted by JMP Securities as key differentiators from its competitors. The company’s favorable cost of capital has been seen as a significant advantage that supports accretive investments to its bottom line. This recent equity offering comes on the heels of another secondary offering completed in late October 2024, which now provides Agree Realty with approximately $1.3 billion in forward equity. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a healthy current ratio of 1.17, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed financial health metrics and 8 additional exclusive ProTips about ADC’s performance and outlook.

With the addition of a new commercial paper program and available credit on its revolving credit facility, Agree Realty’s total liquidity is nearing $3 billion. The company has also implemented interest rate hedges, providing clear insight into the potential pricing of unsecured offerings. This financial preparedness is expected to support Agree Realty’s projected investments of $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion for the 2025 calendar year, with $377 million already invested in the first quarter of 2025.

Despite the positive view on the company’s financial position and growth prospects, JMP Securities notes that these factors seem to be already reflected in the stock’s current valuation. Trading near its 52-week high of $79.65, Agree Realty shares are trading at an 18x multiple on the estimated 2025 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share, which is a 4.5-turn multiple premium compared to the net-lease real estate investment trust (REIT) sector average. Historically, the premium has been around 3 turns. This aligns with InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, which suggests the stock is currently overvalued. For a comprehensive understanding of ADC’s valuation and growth potential, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers, covering all crucial aspects of the company’s financial health and market position.

In other recent news, Agree Realty Corporation reported its first-quarter results for 2025, showing mixed performance. The company missed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts slightly, reporting $0.42 against a projected $0.43. However, it exceeded revenue expectations, achieving $169.16 million compared to the anticipated $164.17 million. Agree Realty also raised its full-year adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) guidance to $4.27-$4.30 per share, reflecting optimism about its future growth. Additionally, the company launched a public offering of 4.5 million shares of common stock as part of a forward sale agreement with Bank of America, N.A. The offering aims to fund acquisitions, development activities, or debt repayment, although the company will not receive immediate proceeds. Analysts from firms like Citi and Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James have shown interest in the company’s tenant exposure and development activities, indicating a cautious but positive outlook. These developments highlight Agree Realty’s strategic focus on expansion and its ability to navigate market uncertainties.

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