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On Friday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL), elevating the airline's stock rating from Underperform to Neutral and significantly increasing the price target to $20.00, up from the previous $12.00.
BofA Securities analysts highlighted that American Airlines is poised to capitalize on several positive industry trends that Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE:DAL). reported the previous week. These trends include robust premium revenue streams, a resurgence in corporate travel, and expanding operations across Atlantic routes.
The upgrade comes with the observation that American Airlines may see a particularly strong recovery in the corporate travel sector, where it experienced a $1.5 billion market share loss in the first half of 2024. This anticipated recovery contributed to the decision to no longer recommend an Underperform rating for the airline's stock. The new Neutral rating reflects a balance between the potential for revenue growth and the risks associated with the company's ability to execute on these opportunities.
In a statement, BofA Securities analysts said, "AAL should benefit from the strong trends discussed by DAL last week: solid premium revenues, a build back of corporate travel, and growth on Atlantic routes." They added, "Further, AAL could realize outsized benefit from the return of corporate travel given its $1.5B market share loss in 1H24. As such, we no longer believe an Underperform rating is warranted and upgrade to Neutral, which balances the revenue potential with execution risk, in our view."
The new price target of $20.00 represents a notable increase and suggests that BofA Securities sees a more favorable outlook for American Airlines' stock value. The revised target is set with consideration of the factors that could drive the airline's financial performance in the near term.
Investors in American Airlines will be monitoring the company's progress as it aims to capture the anticipated benefits from the industry's positive trends and to regain its lost market share in the corporate travel segment. The updated assessment by BofA Securities provides a new perspective on the airline's potential trajectory in the competitive aviation market.
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