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On Tuesday, RBC Capital maintained its Underperform rating and $10.00 price target for Asana (NYSE:ASAN), following the company’s announcement of a challenging quarter. Asana’s stock plunged 28% in after-hours trading due to a disappointing growth outlook, as the technology sector continues to face difficulties. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has already declined over 10% in the past week, with analyst price targets ranging from $10 to $25. The fourth-quarter revenue increase was less significant than expected, and the Net Revenue Retention (NRR) rate worsened, indicating that tech customers are not expanding their use of Asana’s offerings. Despite these challenges, the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 89.4%, according to InvestingPro data. The company’s Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) saw acceleration, partly due to the impact of multiyear deals.
The company also disclosed that co-founder and CEO Dustin Moskovitz will step down once a successor is appointed, at which point he will become the Chair of Asana. This leadership transition occurs at a time when Asana is navigating a tough market environment. The firm’s forecast for fiscal year 2026 revenue fell short of market expectations, which contributed to the decline in stock value. Although Asana’s projection of a 5% operating margin exceeded forecasts, analysts at RBC Capital believe this positive aspect is insufficient to generate investor enthusiasm.
RBC Capital’s analysis indicates that Asana is experiencing renewed signs of macroeconomic headwinds, which could pose further challenges for the company. The reaffirmed Underperform rating reflects continued concerns about Asana’s ability to grow amidst these headwinds. Despite the accelerated RPO and the potentially stabilizing influence of a new CEO, the firm’s outlook remains cautious due to the broader challenges faced by the technology vertical. According to InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis, which includes over 30 financial metrics and key insights, Asana’s current Fair Value suggests the stock may be slightly undervalued, though investors should note that analysts don’t expect profitability this year.
In other recent news, Asana has reported its smallest revenue beat since going public, with its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance falling short of consensus expectations. This has led several analyst firms to adjust their price targets for the company. Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) reduced its price target to $12 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating, citing a slowdown in constant currency revenue growth and leadership changes. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also lowered its price target to $15, keeping an Equalweight rating, and highlighted a shift in investor focus due to a lower-than-expected growth forecast and leadership transition.
Additionally, BofA Securities cut its price target to $25 but maintained a Buy rating, suggesting that Asana’s conservative guidance may be strategic amidst potential growth opportunities. DA Davidson revised their target to $12, retaining a Neutral rating, and noted improvements in margins but expressed caution due to growth outlook challenges. Jefferies also adjusted its price target to $15, maintaining a Hold rating, and pointed to uncertainties in fiscal year 2026 amidst macroeconomic headwinds. These analyst adjustments reflect a recalibration of expectations for Asana’s future performance, considering both challenges and potential growth avenues.
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