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On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Laurence Whyatt upgraded Remy Cointreau (EPA:RCOP) SA (RCO:FP) (OTC: REMYY) stock rating from Underweight to Equalweight and increased the price target to €39.00 from €34.00. The adjustment follows Remy’s fourth-quarter sales, which Whyatt described as underwhelming, missing both consensus and Barclays’ projections. Trading at $5.32, the stock has fallen 43% over the past year and currently appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis.
Whyatt noted that while full profit numbers are pending, it is crucial to consider the company’s outlook for FY26. Remy Cointreau anticipates double-digit growth in the U.S. market, based on expectations of improved sell-out and restocking efforts. The company’s CFO, Luca Marotta, expressed confidence in the current consensus estimates of approximately 4.6% organic sales growth (OSG) and around 4.3% organic profit growth (OPG). With a market cap of $2.8 billion and current P/E ratio of 14.5x, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 71% despite recent challenges.
Barclays, however, finds these figures optimistic, suggesting they rely on a favorable progression of U.S. data and an uptick in Chinese consumer spending. Additionally, the estimates seem to assume either the elimination or highly effective management of existing tariffs, which have the potential to increase further.
Despite these challenges, Whyatt sees a considerable upside risk for Remy Cointreau, similar to that of Pernod Ricard (EPA:PERP), should Chinese tariffs be reduced in the coming months. This potential for reduced tariffs has contributed to Barclays’ decision to upgrade the stock to Equalweight.
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