Gold: Cycle Analysis Indicates Rare Time-Geometry Confluence for Bulls

Published 06/10/2025, 17:07
Updated 06/10/2025, 17:14

Gold futures have reignited their bullish engine, rising over 1.5% to trade at 3968.9 and positioning firmly above the VC PMI daily pivot at 3896. This recovery marks a significant inflection point in the broader mean reversion structure following a midweek retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level around 3873, a critical harmonic zone that provided a springboard for the current advance.

Gold Futures (/GC)

On the short-term daily framework, the market’s successful penetration through Sell 1 (3930) and Sell 2 (3955) signals that the next immediate magnet lies at the weekly Sell 2 target of 4010. This level coincides with the 45° harmonic rotation on the Square-of-Nine grid, implying a strong convergence of mathematical and cyclical resistance. Should price achieve a sustained close above 4010, the next projection arcs extend toward 4056–4075, aligning with the 60° harmonic phase of the Square-of-Nine.

The 30-day Gann cycle, which began its new leg in late September from a 3749–3750 pivot, continues to generate upward thrust. This short-term expansion cycle projects an acceleration window into October 15–17, where both price and time harmonics are expected to synchronize, potentially forming the next high pivot. Conversely, a retracement into that period may form a healthy consolidation within the 3896–3874 support band, offering secondary accumulation opportunities.

Gold Futures - Gann Cycle

Gold Futures (/GC) line chart above showing the VC PMI levels alongside the 30-day and 360-day harmonic cycles.

  • The gold price trend (orange) reflects the current rally from 3749 → 3968 → 4010.

  • The 30-day cycle (blue dashed) shows a short-term oscillation projecting an upward continuation through mid-October.

  • The 360-day cycle (teal dotted) illustrates the broader expansion phase that began in early September, aligning with long-term mean-reversion strength.

Meanwhile, the 360-day cycle (representing the macro annual time vibration) has confirmed its long-term reversal from the September low, marking the beginning of a new bullish expansion phase projected to persist into early 2026. The Square-of-Nine geometric alignment from the 2024 anchor cycle (centered around 2016’s 9-year harmonic) suggests that this rally could evolve into a multi-month move with price equilibrium targets at 4200–4250 by Q1 2026.

Momentum indicators such as the MACD continue to reflect underlying strength, despite short-term divergences. The histogram contraction below zero signals that selling pressure has diminished, setting the stage for a bullish crossover confirmation if price remains above 3896.

From a probabilistic perspective, the VC PMI AI model classifies this market as entering a bullish reversionary phase, with buy levels at 3840–3874 and target zones extending toward 4010–4050. The combination of time harmonics, Fibonacci convergence, and Square-of-Nine structure creates a rare alignment of technical forces, suggesting that gold is transitioning from consolidation to cyclical expansion—a defining shift that could carry strategic implications into year-end positioning.

Conclusion

Gold is in the early stages of a major time-price resonance, with both short-term and long-term cycles favoring continued upside rotation. A weekly close above 4010 would validate the next harmonic phase, opening the pathway to 4050–4200 in alignment with the 360-day mean reversion trajectory.

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