Barclays maintains overweight rating on Arm Holdings stock

Published 06/02/2025, 10:16
Barclays maintains overweight rating on Arm Holdings stock

On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Tom O’Malley maintained an Overweight rating on Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ARM) with a steady price target of $155.00. The stock, which has delivered an impressive YTD return of over 40%, currently trades at a premium valuation with a P/E ratio of 227. O’Malley’s assessment acknowledges modestly improved financial year figures, driven by strong performance in Data Center (Cobalt, Graviton), Networking, Internet of Things (IoT), and a record-breaking March in Licensing.

The analysis highlights that annual pricing escalators on CSS and v9 are expected to contribute to sustained growth in Royalty revenue, and Gross Margins are anticipated to structurally increase from their already impressive 96% level. Despite the positive outlook, concerns were noted regarding the stagnation of v9 mix, which has remained at 25% for the third consecutive quarter. Arm Holdings aims for a 60-70% mix over time, but the lack of advancement is partially attributed to Qualcomm’s (NASDAQ:QCOM) decision to continue using v8 architecture for another generation. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains strong financial health with 14 additional exclusive insights available to subscribers.

Additionally, the report points out a significant quarter-over-quarter increase of 48% in the company’s related parties’ revenue. This rise has raised questions about the potential creation of synthetic demand, which could have otherwise signaled a weaker quarter. In conclusion, while Barclays sees Arm Holdings as a valuable intellectual property franchise for long-term investment, they also recognize emerging issues following the recent financial results. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears to be trading above its intrinsic value, suggesting investors should carefully consider their entry points.

In other recent news, Arm Holdings has been the focus of multiple analyst upgrades, with Citi raising its stock target to $200 and Goldman Sachs lifting its target to $174, both maintaining a Buy rating. These upgrades follow Arm Holdings’ robust financial performance in the recent quarter, with notable revenue growth in its Licensing and Royalty segments. The firm’s strategic focus on artificial intelligence (AI) and its involvement in high-potential projects like Stargate, Cristal, and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) DIGITS were highlighted as key factors underpinning the positive outlook.

Furthermore, Arm Holdings’ CEO, Rene Haas, recently commented on the company’s role in the AI ’Stargate’ projects, which led to a surge in the company’s stock. Bernstein, while expressing concern over Arm’s valuation, acknowledged the company’s strong performance and improved royalty rates. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also maintained an Outperform rating for Arm Holdings, adjusting its future earnings estimates for the company and anticipating top-line growth for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026.

These recent developments underscore Arm Holdings’ strategic positioning and its potential for future growth, particularly in the realms of AI and custom silicon solutions. However, these projections and the company’s performance should be evaluated in the context of ongoing market dynamics and individual investment strategies.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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