Benchmark maintains Buy on ATI stock with $81 target

Published 21/04/2025, 15:42
Benchmark maintains Buy on ATI stock with $81 target

On Monday, Benchmark analysts maintained their Buy rating and $81.00 price target for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:ATI) shares, representing a significant upside from the current trading price of $45.02. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has been profitable over the last twelve months, with a P/E ratio of 15.98x. The company, which has recently provided a conservative outlook for fiscal year 2025, has shown solid trends throughout the first quarter of 2025. Allegheny Technologies has also made strides in improving union relations, with a significant vote on a new master contract anticipated for April 22, 2025.

Allegheny Technologies’ performance in the aerospace and defense sectors, as well as in premium end markets, has been strong in the quarter. With a robust gross profit margin of 20.94% and revenue growth of 4.51% in the last twelve months, the company’s financial health score is rated as "GREAT" by InvestingPro. The company’s Chief Financial Officer, Newman, expressed confidence in the company’s ability to sell its products, emphasizing the sustained demand for jet engines. This demand is supported by efforts from General Electric (NYSE:GE) and Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX) to increase production to meet OEM requirements.

In February, Allegheny Technologies narrowed its FY25 EBITDA guidance to $800 million to $840 million, a slight adjustment from the previous range of $800 million to $900 million. This revision assumes that the new U.S. administration will not significantly impact the current business climate. Despite potential risks from tariffs, the company’s aerospace and defense applications are expected to benefit from long-term market support. However, there is some concern that the more industrially sensitive segments of Allegheny Technologies’ portfolio may be exposed to challenges.

Benchmark analysts have positioned their expectations at the midpoint of Allegheny Technologies’ first-quarter guidance, while remaining at the lower end of the full-year guidance range. Their adjusted earnings per share (EPS) target for the first quarter of 2025 is $0.58, which is slightly below the consensus estimate of $0.60 and within the company’s guidance range of $0.55 to $0.61. With an overall analyst consensus recommendation of 1.55 (Strong Buy) and several additional ProTips available, investors can access comprehensive analysis and valuation metrics through InvestingPro’s detailed research reports, which cover over 1,400 US stocks including ATI.

In other recent news, ATI Inc. reported fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $0.79, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.61. The company also achieved a year-over-year revenue increase of 10% to $1.17 billion, driven by strong demand from the aerospace and defense sectors. This performance led to an optimistic outlook for 2025, with projected full-year adjusted earnings per share between $2.80 and $3.00, above the analyst consensus of $2.27. Additionally, CFRA analyst Matthew Miller raised his 12-month price target for ATI to $75, maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s robust fourth-quarter results.

Benchmark also adjusted its price target for ATI, increasing it to $81 while retaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s benefit from a tight nickel alloy market and record maintenance backlogs. Meanwhile, ATI faced mixed outcomes in labor agreement ratifications, successfully securing a new agreement at its Albany, Oregon facility but failing to ratify an agreement for its Specialty Rolled Products employees in Pennsylvania and New York. The expired agreement in these regions has been extended through April 2025 as negotiations continue.

ATI’s expansion of titanium melt capacity by 80% and its focus on high-value aerospace and defense markets are seen as strategic moves to capitalize on market opportunities. Both CFRA and Benchmark analysts express confidence in ATI’s ability to leverage these developments for future growth. As the company navigates labor negotiations and capitalizes on market trends, stakeholders will be closely monitoring its progress.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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