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On Wednesday, Benchmark analysts reiterated their Buy rating and $16.00 price target for Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ:HLMN) shares, following the company’s report of its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results. The company, currently valued at nearly $2 billion with shares trading at $9.97, maintains a strong Buy consensus among analysts. Hillman Solutions’ performance met consensus estimates with respect to revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share (EPS).
The company faced challenges during the quarter, including a muted renovation and repair (R&R) market and pricing pressures that led to approximately a 50 basis point contraction in gross margin. However, Hillman Solutions was able to offset these headwinds through sustained operating efficiencies and a favorable product mix, which resulted in roughly a 50 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin.
Benchmark’s analyst highlighted the company’s resilience, stating that Hillman Solutions is positioning itself for growth in fiscal year 2025. According to InvestingPro Fair Value analysis, the stock is currently trading near its Fair Value, suggesting balanced market expectations. This outlook is based on the company’s strategic moves, including gearing up for a turnaround in its RDS segment and leveraging recent acquisitions to capitalize on Hillman’s established relationships, even as it anticipates continued pressure in end markets.
Hillman Solutions’ guidance for fiscal year 2025 reflects the management’s confidence in the company’s growth trajectory. The guidance is set against a backdrop of persistent end market challenges, suggesting that the company’s strategic initiatives are expected to drive performance in the upcoming year.
Investors and market watchers will be keeping an eye on Hillman Solutions as it navigates the anticipated market pressures and works towards achieving the growth outlined in its fiscal year 2025 guidance.
In other recent news, Hillman Solutions reported fourth-quarter earnings that did not meet analyst expectations, with earnings per share at $0.10, falling short of the anticipated $0.11. Revenue for the quarter was slightly below estimates, coming in at $349.6 million compared to the consensus of $350.19 million, although net sales saw a marginal increase of 0.5% from the previous year. For 2025, Hillman Solutions forecasts revenue between $1.50 billion and $1.58 billion, aligning closely with the consensus of $1.54 billion. The company highlighted its 2024 achievements, including record-adjusted EBITDA and a reduction in net debt, while also receiving vendor of the year awards from major retailers Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW). Analyst firms have shown confidence in Hillman Solutions, with Stifel maintaining a Buy rating and a $16 price target, citing the company’s ability to enhance profit margins amid challenging market conditions. Benchmark also upgraded its price target to $16, up from $13, maintaining a Buy rating based on the company’s strong recent performance and strategic potential. Newly appointed CEO Jon Michael Adinolfi expressed optimism for 2025, focusing on customer care, new business wins, and acquisitions as growth strategies. Despite recent challenges, Hillman Solutions’ balance sheet shows improved liquidity and reduced net debt, positioning the company for future growth.
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