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On Friday, Berenberg analysts upgraded Givaudan SA (GIVN:SW) (OTC: GVDNY) stock from Hold to Buy, setting a higher price target of CHF 4,700, up from the previous CHF 3,850. The upgrade is based on the firm's projection of Givaudan achieving an organic growth rate of 5.6% in 2025, which is expected to surpass that of its peers. This growth is anticipated to be driven by the company's greater focus on categories with high innovation rates. According to InvestingPro data, the company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 34x and has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, demonstrating consistent financial stability.
Givaudan's Fragrance & Beauty (F&B) division is projected to reach an EBITDA margin of 27.3%, while the Taste & Wellbeing division is forecasted to see an 80 basis point increase to 22.1%. These improvements are believed to contribute to the company's industry-leading margins of 24.7%. Berenberg's analysis suggests that the company has entered a new era of profitability, with these higher margins being sustainable.
The financial firm also highlighted Givaudan's strong free cash flow (FCF) conversion, which is expected to be 16% of sales, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) that outperforms peers at 14%. These factors, combined with a high-quality earnings growth profile, with an 8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2027, underpin Berenberg's confidence in the stock's potential for outperformance. InvestingPro analysis reveals an impressive Financial Health Score of 2.79 (GOOD), with particularly strong marks in profitability (4.28/5) and cash flow metrics.
Berenberg's price target increase to CHF 4,700 is said to imply a 19% upside and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38 times for the year 2025. The firm's outlook for Givaudan is based on the expectation that the company's strategic positioning and financial metrics warrant a valuation premium in the market. The stock has demonstrated low volatility with a beta of 0.48, making it an attractive option for stability-focused investors.
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