Bernstein lowers Fiserv stock price target to $205 on Argentina impact

Published 27/07/2025, 07:38
Bernstein lowers Fiserv stock price target to $205 on Argentina impact

Investing.com - Bernstein SocGen Group has reduced its price target on Fiserv (NYSE:FI) to $205.00 from $214.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the financial technology company. The stock, currently trading at $142.03, has experienced significant pressure, falling over 14% in the past week. According to InvestingPro data, technical indicators suggest the stock is in oversold territory.

The price target adjustment follows Fiserv’s quarterly performance that showed revenue and margin misses, which Bernstein attributes partially to negative impacts from the company’s Argentina operations. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a healthy revenue growth rate of 6.73% and commands a significant market presence with a $77.21 billion market capitalization.

Bernstein estimates that Argentina negatively affected Fiserv’s revenue growth by 1-3 percentage points and margins by a similar amount in the second quarter, primarily due to lower interest rates and associated high margins in that market.

The firm noted that Fiserv’s operating expenses grew by approximately $120 million above regular patterns, with an estimated $40 million coming from acquisitions and the remainder from increased distribution costs and investments.

Despite the price target reduction, Bernstein expressed concerns that Fiserv’s second-half numbers "haven’t been sufficiently de-risked" as they likely incorporate benefits from newer initiatives, wins, and stable macroeconomic conditions, though the firm estimates a potential 3-4 percentage point benefit to second-half revenues compared to the second quarter from Argentina and prepayment business. With 20 analysts recently revising earnings estimates downward, investors seeking deeper insights into Fiserv’s valuation and growth prospects can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro, which offers exclusive financial health scores and detailed metrics.

In other recent news, Fiserv has faced a series of price target reductions from several financial analyst firms following its second-quarter 2025 earnings announcement. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods adjusted its price target for Fiserv to $170, citing a weaker outlook due to challenges in the Merchant segment and broader macroeconomic concerns. KeyBanc also lowered its target to $200, highlighting a slowdown in growth across Fiserv’s business segments, including its Clover payment platform, and reduced margin expansion projections. Similarly, TD Cowen reduced its price target to $188, describing the earnings report as "clearly disappointing" with lower organic growth and adjusted operating margin targets for the year. RBC Capital set its target at $178, pointing to lower organic growth and margin guidance for the remainder of 2025. Stephens also made an adjustment, lowering its target to $180, following downward revisions to Fiserv’s full-year organic revenue growth forecast. These developments indicate a cautious stance from analysts regarding Fiserv’s financial prospects.

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