Bernstein reiterates Kraft Heinz stock rating at Market Perform

Published 03/09/2025, 13:52
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Investing.com - Bernstein reiterated a Market Perform rating and $30.00 price target on Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC) as the company prepares to split into two separate entities. The stock, currently trading near its 52-week low of $25.44, appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis.

The board of Kraft Heinz has unanimously approved the separation into a North American Grocery business and a Global Taste Elevation company, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of 2026. The company, which currently offers a substantial 6.15% dividend yield, maintains a market capitalization of $33.11 billion.

The North American Grocery business will have approximately $10.4 billion in sales in 2024 and $2.3 billion in EBITDA, though EBITDA is expected to decrease to around $2.15 billion in 2025.

The Global Taste Elevation company is projected to have approximately $15.4 billion in sales in 2024 and $4.0 billion in EBITDA, with EBITDA expected to decrease to approximately $3.85 billion in 2025.

Cost dis-synergies from the separation are estimated at $300 million, representing about 1% of the combined company’s sales, which is lower than Bernstein had anticipated.

In other recent news, Kraft Heinz announced plans to separate into two distinct entities, with the growth company representing approximately 60% of the total business. This development has led Moody’s Ratings to place Kraft Heinz’s ratings under review for a potential downgrade. The review includes Baa2 senior unsecured ratings and Prime-2 commercial paper ratings, along with ratings for several associated entities. Meanwhile, Stifel has lowered its price target for Kraft Heinz from $30 to $28, maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. In contrast, Morgan Stanley upgraded Kraft Heinz from Underweight to Equalweight, raising its price target to $29. Morgan Stanley believes that previous bearish forecasts have largely materialized, leading to more reasonable consensus levels. Additionally, Warren Buffett expressed disappointment over the split, which reverses much of the merger he orchestrated a decade ago. Lastly, Mizuho has maintained its Neutral rating and $29 price target, noting improvements in execution and ongoing portfolio challenges.

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