BMO Capital downgrades Kilroy Realty stock on lease expiration concerns

Published 16/07/2025, 11:26
BMO Capital downgrades Kilroy Realty stock on lease expiration concerns

Investing.com - BMO Capital downgraded Kilroy Realty (NYSE:KRC) from Market Perform to Underperform on Wednesday, while setting a price target of $35.00. The $4.4 billion market cap REIT currently trades at 0.82 times book value, and according to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value model.

The downgrade reflects concerns about Kilroy’s lease expiration profile, with BMO estimating the company’s Lease-vs.-Expiration ratio at 0.7x for 2026, significantly below the office sector average of 2.0x, suggesting potential occupancy declines and reduced NOI margins next year. This concern is particularly notable given the company’s current ratio of 0.69, with InvestingPro data showing short-term obligations exceeding liquid assets.

BMO also highlighted ongoing challenges from Kilroy’s $2.5 billion development pipeline, noting that capitalized interest will be rolling off in 2025-2026, creating additional financial pressure for the real estate investment trust.

The research firm projects a substantial decline in Kilroy’s funds from operations, forecasting drops of 15.7% in 2025 and 17.3% in 2026.

BMO’s analysis indicates Kilroy’s 2026 adjusted funds from operations payout ratio will reach 108%, suggesting the company’s dividend may not be fully covered by its operational cash flow.

In other recent news, Kilroy Realty Corporation reported its Q1 2025 financial results, revealing mixed outcomes. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.33, slightly surpassing the forecast of $0.32. However, revenue fell short of expectations, coming in at $270.8 million compared to the anticipated $275.96 million. Despite the revenue miss, Kilroy reaffirmed its full-year guidance for funds from operations and cash same property net operating income growth. Additionally, Kilroy Realty declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.54 per common share, payable to shareholders as of June 30, 2025. In other developments, the company announced the results of its 2025 annual meeting, with all director nominees elected and executive compensation approved. The appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year was also ratified. These recent updates reflect Kilroy Realty’s ongoing efforts to maintain financial stability and investor confidence amidst a challenging market environment.

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