BMO maintains Outperform rating on New Gold shares with C$5.50 target

Published 20/02/2025, 16:24
BMO maintains Outperform rating on New Gold shares with C$5.50 target

On Thursday, BMO Capital Markets sustained its positive outlook on New Gold Inc. (NYSE:NGD:CN) (NYSE: NGD), reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of C$5.50. The firm’s stance remained unchanged following New Gold’s report of adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.07, which aligned with BMO’s forecast and was slightly above the consensus estimate of US$0.06. According to InvestingPro data, the company has demonstrated remarkable performance with a 150% return over the past year, and net income is expected to grow this year.

New Gold’s fourth-quarter production results for 2024 marginally missed the lower end of the company’s revised annual guidance. Despite this, the company’s financial performance matched analyst expectations, with revenue growing 17.55% and maintaining a healthy 52.81% gross profit margin, as reported by InvestingPro. The reported quarterly cash costs were $728 per ounce, and the all-in sustaining costs (AISC) were $1,018 per ounce. These figures were somewhat mixed compared to BMO’s estimates of US$711/oz and US$1,124/oz, respectively.

For the full year, New Gold disclosed costs of US$769 per ounce and AISC of $1,239 per ounce. These results are within the company’s provided cost guidance range of US$725/oz to US$825/oz for cash costs and US$1,240/oz to US$1,340/oz for AISC. The costs reported by New Gold for the entire year suggest a close adherence to the anticipated financial discipline outlined in their guidance.

The affirmation of the Outperform rating and the C$5.50 price target for New Gold’s stock by BMO Capital Markets reflects the firm’s confidence in the mining company’s performance and prospects. This endorsement is further supported by InvestingPro’s Financial Health Score of 2.91 (GOOD), indicating strong operational fundamentals. This endorsement comes after a detailed analysis of New Gold’s quarterly and full-year financial and operational results. For deeper insights into New Gold’s performance metrics and growth potential, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, New Gold Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, revealing record revenue but missing earnings expectations. The company achieved a quarterly revenue record of $262 million, although this fell short of the analyst forecast of $289.71 million. Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $0.07, slightly below the expected $0.0754. In a strategic move, New Gold increased its ownership in New Afton to over 80% and repaid a $100 million credit facility, showcasing its strong cash flow position. The firm anticipates significant production and cash flow increases by 2027, projecting substantial free cash flow generation between $1.7 billion and $2 billion over the next three years. Analyst feedback from firms like Ontario Teachers highlighted the company’s operational achievements and future potential. Despite the earnings miss, New Gold’s management expressed optimism about upcoming production increases and cost efficiencies. The company remains focused on expanding its production capabilities at Rainy River and New Afton, with planned infrastructure developments and tailings capacity considerations underway.

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