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On Thursday, BofA Securities analyst Ming Hsun Lee upgraded CALB Co Ltd (3931:HK) stock to a Buy rating from Neutral and increased the price target to HK$22.00, up from the previous HK$16.90. The upgrade is based on several key factors that point towards the company’s positive growth trajectory.
Lee highlighted the anticipated solid growth in electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage system (ESS) battery shipments for CALB by 2025. The analyst also noted the potential for improved profitability due to better economies of scale and a strong product mix. Moreover, CALB’s gradual expansion plans for overseas capacity are expected to underpin future growth.
Another contributing factor to the upgraded rating and price target is CALB’s recent inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index on February 21 and the upcoming addition to the Hong Kong Stock Connect on March 10, which could enhance trading liquidity and serve as a near-term catalyst for the stock.
In light of preliminary results for the second half of 2024 and the industry outlook, BofA Securities has raised its shipment forecasts for CALB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 by 7%, 18%, and 12%, respectively. Additionally, the gross profit margin (GPM) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been increased by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points, respectively, due to the anticipated benefits of higher scale.
Following these adjustments, BofA Securities has revised its net income forecasts for CALB upward for 2025 and 2026 by 11% and 4%, respectively. The firm expects CALB to achieve a sales compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31% and a net profit CAGR of 118% between 2024 and 2026.
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