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On Thursday, CFRA analyst Garrett Nelson adjusted the 12-month price target for BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA) stock, decreasing it to $32 from the previous $35, while maintaining a Hold rating on the shares. The revision follows BorgWarner’s release of their fourth-quarter earnings, which reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.01, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.96. This outperformance was attributed to stronger-than-anticipated margins even though the company’s revenue dropped by 2% to $3.44 billion, slightly missing the consensus by $30 million. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a strong financial health score of "GOOD" with a comfortable current ratio of 1.84, indicating solid liquidity management.
The lowered price target by CFRA is based on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.6x, which is a discount to BorgWarner’s five-year average forward P/E of 10.9x. Nelson also revised the company’s 2025 adjusted EPS estimate down to $4.30 from $4.65 and introduced a 2026 estimate of $4.85. BorgWarner has provided its own 2025 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $4.05 to $4.40, which falls short of the $4.48 consensus and suggests a 2% year-over-year decline in earnings from $4.32 earned in 2023. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with 8 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period.
The analyst cited concerns about BorgWarner’s earnings growth being affected by a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) demand growth and the anticipated elimination of the federal electric vehicle tax credit. These factors, along with potential pressures on auto production due to elevated inventory levels and possible tariffs, are expected to create headwinds for BorgWarner and other auto suppliers.
In his comments, Nelson recommended investors remain on the sidelines with respect to BorgWarner stock. He pointed to the challenges the company may face in the automotive supply industry, indicating that these could impact its future earnings potential and stock performance.
In other recent news, BorgWarner Inc. reported its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that slightly outperformed analyst expectations. The auto parts supplier posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.01, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.95, and reported revenue of $3.44 billion, slightly above the anticipated $3.43 billion. However, the company’s sales experienced a 2.4% year-on-year decrease, largely due to lower industry production.
Looking ahead, BorgWarner provided a mixed outlook for fiscal year 2025. The company expects earnings per share to fall between $4.05 and $4.40, and projects revenue in the range of $13.4 billion to $14 billion, both figures diverging from analyst estimates. BorgWarner’s President and CEO, Frédéric Lissalde, noted the achievement of an adjusted operating margin of 10.2% in the fourth quarter, despite a decline in their weighted light and commercial vehicle markets.
Despite the anticipated 1% to 3% market downturn in 2025, BorgWarner still expects to deliver sales outgrowth, maintain an adjusted operating margin above 10%, and generate strong free cash flow. The company also announced securing new business awards, including a Variable Cam Timing system for a major East Asian OEM and turbocharger program extensions with a major North American OEM. These recent developments are expected to support BorgWarner’s long-term profitable growth.
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