Braze stock rating holds with $68 target after strong F4Q25 results

Published 28/03/2025, 10:28
Braze stock rating holds with $68 target after strong F4Q25 results

On Friday, Citizens JMP analysts maintained a Market Outperform rating and a $68.00 price target for Braze Inc (NASDAQ:BRZE) following the company’s release of impressive fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2025. Braze, a customer engagement platform, reported non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12, surpassing the consensus estimate of a $0.05 loss. The non-GAAP operating margin also improved to 5.0%, a significant increase from the previous quarter’s negative margin of 1.4%. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a strong financial position with a healthy current ratio of 1.99 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet, supporting its growth trajectory.

The company’s revenue for the quarter stood at $160.4 million, exceeding the expected $155.7 million and marking a 22% year-over-year growth, albeit slightly down from the previous quarter’s 23% growth rate. This performance aligns with the company’s impressive trailing twelve-month revenue growth of 28.3%. Subscription revenue contributed $153.9 million to the total, also up 22% year-over-year. Customer relationship performance obligations (cRPO) grew by 23% year-over-year to $505.2 million, slightly above the consensus of $502.2 million. However, billings of $176.7 million saw a 13% year-over-year increase, which was below the anticipated 18% increase.

Braze’s guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 indicates an expected non-GAAP EPS of $0.04 to $0.05 on projected revenue of $158.0 million to $159.0 million, roughly a 17% increase year-over-year. This guidance aligns closely with the consensus estimate of $0.04 EPS on $158.5 million revenue. Furthermore, the full-year fiscal 2026 guidance anticipates non-GAAP EPS of $0.31 to $0.35 and non-GAAP operating income between $25.5 million and $29.5 million on revenue of $686.0 million to $691.0 million, indicating a 16% year-over-year growth. These projections are more optimistic than the consensus, which forecasts a non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 and operating income of $19.2 million on revenue of $688.1 million.

The forward-looking guidance provided by Braze does not take into account any potential impact from the upcoming acquisition of OfferFit, which is expected to close in the second quarter of the fiscal year 2026. Despite this, the news of the strong fourth-quarter performance and optimistic projections sent Braze shares soaring by 12% in aftermarket trading. This rally came as a turnaround after the stock had declined by 12% year-to-date, in contrast to roughly 3% and 4% decreases in the S&P 500 and the Russell 3000, respectively.

In other recent news, Braze Inc. reported its fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with earnings per share of $0.12, more than double the forecasted $0.05. The company also exceeded revenue projections, reporting $160.4 million against an expected $155.69 million, marking a 22% year-over-year increase. Braze has announced the acquisition of Offerfit, a deal valued at $325 million, which is expected to enhance revenue growth by approximately 2 percentage points. Analysts have noted that Braze’s acquisition strategy and sustained profitability highlight its operational efficiency and market competitiveness. The company is also expanding its product offerings and entering new markets, emphasizing AI-driven solutions. Braze’s guidance for Q1 FY2026 anticipates revenue between $158 million and $159 million, with full-year revenue expected to reach between $686 million and $691 million. This guidance reflects a 16% projected growth, underscoring Braze’s commitment to innovation and market expansion.

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