BTIG maintains Buy on Rani Therapeutics stock, $14 target

Published 01/04/2025, 10:50
BTIG maintains Buy on Rani Therapeutics stock, $14 target

On Tuesday, BTIG research firm maintained a Buy rating on Rani Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:RANI) with a price target of $14.00, significantly above the current price of $1.26. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, having declined nearly 60% over the past year. According to InvestingPro data, analyst price targets range from $8 to $17, suggesting potential upside. The firm’s analyst, Julian Harrison, highlighted the potential of Rani’s RT-114, a RaniPill containing Fc fusion GLP1/2 agonist, to stand out in the oral obesity treatment market due to its improved tolerability and lower manufacturing costs compared to other treatments.

Rani Therapeutics’ RT-114 is designed to address the common issues associated with oral small molecule drugs, such as short half-lives and wide peaks to troughs in pharmacokinetics, which can lead to tolerability challenges. The RaniPill’s dosing flexibility and the early safety profile of PG-102, the active ingredient in RT-114, are seen as advantages that could enhance patient adherence.

The market opportunity for obesity treatments is substantial, with projections to surpass $100 billion by 2030. Despite the high discontinuation rates of current treatments within the first three months, RT-114’s potential for wider margins, due to lower active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) requirements, is expected to be a strong point in future payor negotiations, possibly improving patient access compared to other oral treatments. With a current market capitalization of just $72.36 million, InvestingPro analysis reveals the company faces profitability challenges, with a net loss of $28.17 million in the last twelve months. Get access to 10+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics with InvestingPro.

RT-114 has shown comparable bioavailability to subcutaneously administered PG-102 and less variable weight loss outcomes in preclinical studies. The initiation of a Phase 1 trial to evaluate RT-114 is scheduled for mid-2025. This study will include obese patients with a body mass index (BMI) between 30 and 39.9 kg/m2 and will measure changes in bodyweight, offering an early look at its efficacy.

Rani Therapeutics concluded the fourth quarter of 2024 with $27.6 million in cash and equivalents. According to the company’s guidance, these funds are expected to be sufficient to support its operations into the third quarter of 2025. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.6, indicating adequate short-term liquidity, though InvestingPro’s Financial Health Score suggests careful monitoring may be warranted. Access the complete Pro Research Report for detailed analysis of RANI’s financial position and growth prospects.

In other recent news, Rani Therapeutics Holdings Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, revealing a net loss of $56.6 million, an improvement from the previous year’s $67.9 million. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) was reported at -0.27, slightly missing the forecasted -0.26. Rani Therapeutics introduced its first contract revenue of $1 million in 2024. The company also noted a significant decrease in research and development expenses by $12.9 million. Additionally, the company’s cash reserves were reported at $27.6 million, which is expected to fund operations into the third quarter of 2025. Rani Therapeutics plans to initiate Phase 1 clinical trials for its RT-114 program in mid-2025. The company is exploring opportunities in obesity, immunology, and rare diseases, aiming for international market expansion. The strategic focus on cost containment has started to yield results amid challenging market conditions.

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