Cantor Fitzgerald cuts IREN stock target to $20 from $23

Published 07/03/2025, 14:26
Cantor Fitzgerald cuts IREN stock target to $20 from $23

On Friday, Cantor Fitzgerald’s Brett Knoblauch adjusted the price target for IREN Ltd. (NASDAQ: IREN), a $1.67 billion market cap Bitcoin mining company, to $20.00, down from the previous target of $23.00. Despite the reduction, the firm maintained an Overweight rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $15 to $26, suggesting significant upside potential. Knoblauch provided an overview of IREN’s recent performance, noting that the company mined 459 Bitcoin in February, averaging 16.4 Bitcoin per day, down from 16.8 per day in January. Despite a month-over-month decline in mining revenue to $43.9 million from $52.0 million, this represented a significant year-over-year increase of 145.7% from the $17.9 million reported in February 2024, aligning with the company’s impressive 133% revenue growth over the last twelve months.

The company’s installed hash rate has remained steady month-over-month at 31 EH/s, with management confirming their plans to increase this rate by 61.3% to 50 EH/s within the next four months. This expected growth is attributed primarily to the ongoing construction and subsequent energization of 300 MW of data center capacity at the Childress site by the first half of 2025. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 90%, though it’s currently burning through cash - just two of twelve key insights available to Pro subscribers.

Following the activation of the initial 300 MW, IREN plans to energize an additional 100 MW at Childress throughout the second half of 2025. This expansion includes 25 MW dedicated to Bitcoin mining and 75 MW allocated to Horizon 1, IREN’s state-of-the-art 75 MW DTC liquid-cooled data center. This facility is designed to support NVDA’s new Blackwell GPUs, which are covered by analyst C. Muse with an Overweight rating.

Lastly, the report highlighted an increase in the electricity cost per Bitcoin mined, which rose to $28,341 per coin from $24,683 in January. This led to a hardware profit margin of 70.4%, a slight decrease from the 75.4% margin seen in the previous month.

In other recent news, IREN Limited reported a robust profit margin of 70% for its Bitcoin mining hardware, generating $43.9 million in revenue for February 2025. The company mined 3,459 BTC with electricity costs totaling $13.0 million. IREN is on track to increase its operating hashrate to 50 EH/s over the next four months, potentially generating $600 million in annualized operating cash flows at current market conditions. Cantor Fitzgerald adjusted its rating on IREN stock from Overweight to Neutral, maintaining a $23 price target, reflecting a shift in the firm’s outlook. H.C. Wainwright raised its price target for IREN to $22, citing optimism about the company’s shift toward high-performance computing and AI. The Horizon 1 project, which aims to support NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) Blackwell GPUs, is set to complete in the second half of 2025 and could generate over $75 million annually at full capacity. IREN is also advancing its Sweetwater projects and expanding its data center capabilities. The company is actively seeking multi-tenant AI co-location opportunities, although no agreements have been finalized.

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