Citi maintains $215 target on Deckers stock, reiterates Buy rating

Published 20/02/2025, 11:50
Citi maintains $215 target on Deckers stock, reiterates Buy rating

On Thursday, Citi analyst Paul Lejuez confirmed a Buy rating on Deckers Outdoor (NYSE: NYSE:DECK) with a steady price target of $215.00. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for the stock range from $120 to $284, with the company maintaining a "GREAT" financial health score. During a virtual fireside chat with investors and Deckers’ CFO Steve Fasching, management conveyed a strong sense of optimism about the demand for their Hoka and UGG brands. They indicated no significant worries regarding the economic environment and emphasized the global consumer appeal of their products. This confidence appears well-founded, as the company has achieved impressive revenue growth of 19.52% over the last twelve months, maintaining a robust gross margin of 57.79%.

The discussion acknowledged some short-term variability in Hoka’s wholesale growth due to the timing of product launches and new store openings. However, management clarified that these fluctuations were part of a deliberate strategy aimed at fostering sustainable growth over the long term. While there is an anticipation that management might project Hoka sales growth to be below 20% for Fiscal Year 2026 (F26), they also hinted at the possibility of increased orders from wholesalers if demand exceeds supply, hinting at potential sales upside.

Citi’s analysis suggests that management might set conservative gross margin (GM) expectations for F26, influenced by foreign exchange rates and a presumed return to regular promotional activities. Nevertheless, similar to Fiscal Year 2025 (F25), the firm anticipates that actual margins could surpass initial guidance due to robust demand for products sold at full price.

The fireside chat provided further insights, with management expressing confidence in their brand strength and market positioning. They indicated that while there may be short-term fluctuations in growth patterns, the overall trajectory for Deckers Outdoor remains positive. The company’s strategic planning and ability to adapt to market conditions appear to be key factors in maintaining strong performance and meeting their long-term objectives. Notably, InvestingPro analysis reveals that DECK has achieved a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating exceptional financial strength. For deeper insights into DECK’s valuation and 12+ additional ProTips, explore the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Deckers Outdoor Corporation reported impressive financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, surpassing market expectations. The company achieved earnings per share of $3.00, well above the forecasted $2.46, and revenue reached $1.83 billion, exceeding the anticipated $1.7 billion. Deckers has also raised its full-year revenue guidance to over $4.9 billion, reflecting a 15% growth. Despite these strong results, the company’s stock experienced a significant decline in aftermarket trading. In terms of brand performance, the HOKA brand continues to expand with new product launches planned, contributing to the company’s robust revenue growth. Analyst firms have not provided any recent upgrades or downgrades, but the company’s outlook remains optimistic with upcoming product launches expected to drive further growth. Deckers’ strategic initiatives, including expanding its direct-to-consumer and international presence, have been highlighted as key drivers of its performance.

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