What the bad jobs report means for markets
On Tuesday, Citi analysts reiterated a Buy rating for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ: OLLI), maintaining their price target at $133.00. The decision follows the company’s strong first-quarter performance, highlighted by significant same-store sales growth. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades above its Fair Value, with analysts maintaining a consensus "Buy" recommendation and a high target of $137.00. The company’s overall financial health score is rated as "GOOD."
Analysts noted that Ollie’s Bargain Outlet delivered solid results despite some one-time items in selling, general, and administrative expenses that limited the extent of the earnings per share beat and the ability to raise EPS guidance. The core gross margin beat plan was seen as encouraging, reflecting the company’s strength in the retail sector. The company achieved revenue growth of 8.7% over the last twelve months, with total revenue reaching $2.34 billion.
Transaction (JO:NTUJ) growth in the first quarter was reported to be among the best in retail, with a mid-single-digit percentage increase, indicating that Ollie’s is gaining market share. Analysts also observed that same-store sales for the second quarter to date are running at a positive 1%, despite challenges in seasonal categories due to difficult comparisons and unfavorable weather conditions. InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional key insights about OLLI’s growth potential and financial health, along with a comprehensive Pro Research Report available for this and 1,400+ other US stocks.
The firm expressed optimism about the potential for increased consumer demand with the arrival of summer temperatures. July is expected to present a more favorable comparison than May and June. Additionally, analysts highlighted that the current inventory levels are favorable for Ollie’s amidst tariff disruptions, positioning the company as a disruptive force in retail growth. The company maintains a moderate debt level with a healthy Altman Z-Score of 7.84, indicating strong financial stability.
In other recent news, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet reported impressive first-quarter results for 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved earnings per share of $0.75, exceeding the forecast of $0.71, while revenue reached $576.8 million, outpacing the projected $565.9 million. Ollie’s also opened a record 25 new stores during this period, contributing to a 13% increase in net sales. Truist Securities responded to these strong results by raising their price target for Ollie’s stock to $128 from $126, maintaining a Buy rating. The firm highlighted Ollie’s potential benefits from Big Lots (NYSE:BIG) store closures and the company’s strategic positioning in the retail sector. Despite these positive developments, Ollie’s stock experienced a 4.4% decline in pre-market trading, possibly due to broader market conditions. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting net sales between $2.579 billion and $2.599 billion and plans to open 75 new stores this year. Ollie’s continues to focus on its aggressive expansion strategy and value proposition, anticipating growth opportunities from market disruptions.
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