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On Friday, Citi analysts, led by Steven Zaccone, increased their price target on Boot Barn (NYSE:BOOT) Holdings Inc (NYSE: BOOT) shares from $137.00 to $180.00, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. The stock, currently trading at $154.97, has surged over 31% in the past week alone. According to InvestingPro data, six analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward, with price targets ranging from $115 to $210. The revision followed a series of virtual investor meetings with Boot Barn’s CEO, John Hazen, and CFO, Jim Watkins, which took place after the company reported its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday.
The meetings left analysts more confident in management’s ability to navigate the profit and loss statement amid tariffs. Citi’s updated outlook suggests that Boot Barn is performing strongly, with effective strategies to improve underperforming segments such as work boots and apparel. The company’s robust 14.6% revenue growth and GOOD financial health score from InvestingPro support this positive outlook. The second-half forecast is viewed as conservative by the analysts, who see room for the stock’s multiple and earnings to exceed expectations.
Boot Barn’s shares have already shown considerable strength following management’s initial financial guidance for fiscal year 2026. Despite this recent performance, Citi believes there remains an attractive risk/reward balance for the stock, with potential for further upside.
The new price target of $180 is based on approximately 25 times Citi’s increased earnings per share estimate for fiscal year 2027. This adjustment aligns with Citi’s typical methodology of valuing stocks based on a forward-looking price-to-earnings ratio. The firm has rolled its valuation year forward to FY27 to maintain consistency with this approach.
In other recent news, Boot Barn Holdings Inc. reported its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, which revealed an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.22, slightly below the forecast of $1.25. The company also reported a revenue of $453.7 million for the quarter, which was short of the expected $458.91 million. Despite these misses, Boot Barn experienced a 17% increase in total revenue year-over-year, reaching a record $1.9 billion for fiscal 2025. Looking forward, the company plans to open 65-70 new stores in fiscal 2026, with sales guidance projected between $2.070 billion and $2.150 billion.
UBS analyst Jay Sole recently raised the price target for Boot Barn to $210 from $156, maintaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s strong position in niche markets and potential store expansion. Sole projects a 13% compound annual growth rate in earnings per share from fiscal year 2025 to 2030, supported by Boot Barn’s ability to handle tariffs more effectively than competitors. The company’s exclusive brand penetration increased to 38.6% in fiscal 2025, contributing to its robust performance. Boot Barn’s strategy of expanding its store count and focusing on exclusive brands appears to have positively influenced investor sentiment, despite some challenges like potential tariff impacts and consumer demand fluctuations.
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