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On Tuesday, Citi analyst Siraj Ahmed updated the financial outlook for Zip Co Ltd (Z1P:AU) (OTC: ZIZTF), increasing the price target on the company’s shares to AUD3.30, up from AUD3.15. Despite the price target adjustment, the firm maintained a Neutral rating on the stock.
The revised price target comes on the heels of positive developments within the buy now, pay later (BNPL) sector. Notably, BNPL competitor Sezzle has recently upgraded its guidance. Additionally, app data suggests that there has been a surge in new customer acquisition in the United States, which bodes well for Zip’s performance.
Ahmed anticipates that Zip will report a robust second quarter for 2025 in the U.S. market. However, expectations for the Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) market are more conservative, with transaction through volume (TTV) projected to remain flat year-over-year.
The forecasted improvements for Zip’s cash earnings before tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBTDA) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted upwards by 2% to 5%. This update reflects a weaker Australian dollar, which is somewhat counterbalanced by an anticipated increase in cost growth.
The analyst’s commentary sheds light on the factors influencing the revised price target, stating, "We increase our FY25e - FY27e cash EBTDA forecasts by +2% to +5% to reflect weaker AUD partially offset by higher cost growth and increase our target price by +5% to $3.30 but maintain Neutral rating."
Investors and market watchers will be looking to see how Zip Co Ltd’s stock responds to the new price target and how the company’s performance aligns with Citi’s projections in the coming quarters.
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