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Investing.com - Citizens JMP analyst Trevor Cranston has reiterated a Market Perform rating on AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ:AGNC), while lowering earnings estimates for the company. The mortgage REIT, which offers a substantial 15.3% dividend yield and has maintained dividend payments for 18 consecutive years, currently has a market capitalization of $9.6 billion.
The firm reduced its 2025 net spread plus dollar roll income per share estimates to $1.52 from a previous forecast of $1.64, representing a 7.3% decrease in projected earnings.
For 2026, Citizens JMP also cut its earnings estimate to $1.55 per share from the prior projection of $1.72, a reduction of approximately 9.9%.
The firm’s estimate for the current second quarter of 2025 stands at $0.37 per share, though no previous estimate was provided for comparison.
Despite the lowered earnings outlook, Citizens JMP maintained its Market Perform rating, noting that AGNC shares are "fairly valued at 1.21x current estimated book value versus an Agency MREIT peer median of 0.98x."
In other recent news, AGNC Investment Corp reported its first-quarter earnings for 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.44, compared to the forecasted $0.40. However, the company’s revenue of $846 million fell slightly short of the anticipated $850.28 million. AGNC also announced a new "at the market" common stock issuance program, aiming to raise up to $1.5 billion, with major financial firms facilitating the sale. Piper Sandler reiterated its Overweight rating on AGNC, highlighting the company’s stable dividend amidst market volatility. Meanwhile, RBC Capital Markets adjusted AGNC’s price target from $11 to $10, maintaining an Outperform rating, following the company’s first-quarter results that impacted book value per share. AGNC’s agency-focused investment strategy was favored by RBC Capital amid macroeconomic uncertainties. The company’s recent developments reflect strategic maneuvers to manage market conditions and investor expectations effectively.
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