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Monday, Compass Point analysts downgraded Acushnet Holdings (NYSE:GOLF) stock rating from Buy to Neutral and adjusted the price target to $71 from $80. The revision comes ahead of the company’s first-quarter earnings report, expected to be released on May 7, 2025. Currently trading at $66.53, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is trading above its Fair Value, with analyst targets ranging from $64 to $80.
The downgrade is primarily due to a reassessment of the company’s valuation, factoring in a tariff-impacted EBITDA that is 10% lower than the previous estimate. Compass Point will update its official estimate following the upcoming financial results. The company’s current EBITDA stands at $346.25 million, with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.91x.
The analysts used a 14x EV/EBITDA multiple to calculate the new price target, based on the 2025 tariff-impacted EBITDA estimate of $364.5 million. This approach aligns with the valuation multiples observed from the 2021 sale of TaylorMade and the normalized multiples for apparel.
With less than 10% potential upside to the revised price target, Compass Point no longer sees Acushnet Holdings as a Buy option. The firm’s decision to lower the rating to Neutral reflects this position. The updated price target of $71 represents a decrease from the previous target of $80, indicating a more cautious outlook on the stock’s growth potential.
In other recent news, Acushnet Holdings Corp reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, surpassing expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.02, compared to the anticipated -$0.33. The company also exceeded revenue forecasts, posting $455.2 million against the expected $448.76 million, marking an 8% year-over-year increase in Q4 sales. For the full year, Acushnet reported sales of $2.46 billion, representing a 4% gain on a constant currency basis. Despite these strong earnings, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its price target for Acushnet Holdings, reducing it from $77.00 to $70.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating. This revision reflects a cautious outlook due to macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff pressures.
Similarly, JPMorgan reiterated its Underweight rating on Acushnet Holdings with a steady price target of $64.00, citing a notable decrease in U.S. golf rounds played due to unfavorable weather conditions. Public access rounds experienced a 12.5% year-over-year decline, while private access rounds fell by 8.3%. Acushnet’s adjusted EBITDA for FY25 is projected to align closely with the consensus, estimated at approximately $413 million, despite sales guidance being slightly below expectations due to foreign exchange impacts. Acushnet continues to invest in digital and global operations, with new product launches, including the Pro V1 golf ball, expected in 2025.
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