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On Wednesday, Craig-Hallum analyst Jeremy Hamblin upgraded shares of Boot Barn (NYSE: NYSE:BOOT) from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $130.00. According to InvestingPro data, seven analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, with price targets ranging from $100 to $209. The upgrade reflects a positive outlook on the retailer’s growth potential, despite acknowledging the high tariff uncertainty due to imports from Mexico and China, which could pose a risk to earnings per share (EPS). The company’s solid financial foundation, evidenced by a healthy current ratio of 2.2 and revenue growth of 8.31% over the last twelve months, supports this optimistic view.
Hamblin’s decision to raise the rating is based on several key factors. First, he believes that tariffs will impact Boot Barn’s competitors equally, allowing the company’s scale to provide an edge in mitigating these challenges. Second, the analyst expects Boot Barn to capture market share amid the disruption, drawing a parallel to gains made during the COVID period as smaller competitors potentially close their doors. This could lead to what Hamblin refers to as "super-sized" same-store sales (SSS) in the future.
The analyst also points to Boot Barn’s robust balance sheet, which he suggests will help the company weather the potential tariff-related shocks. InvestingPro analysis confirms this assessment, showing the company operates with moderate debt levels and maintains strong liquidity, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. Additionally, a weakening Mexican Peso is seen as a mitigating factor for some of the risks associated with tariffs. For deeper insights into Boot Barn’s financial health and future prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.
Lastly, Hamblin notes signals from the Trump Administration indicating a desire to reduce tariff measures, which could benefit Boot Barn. However, in light of the current uncertainties and risks, Hamblin has revised Boot Barn’s fiscal year 2026 and 2027 estimates downwards, adopting a more conservative stance and applying a lower valuation multiple than the stock’s typical trading range to reflect the potential impacts of tariffs.
In other recent news, Boot Barn Holdings Inc. reported impressive financial results for the third quarter of 2024, exceeding analysts’ expectations. The company’s earnings per share reached $2.43, surpassing the forecasted $2.05, while revenue hit $608.17 million, well above the anticipated $592.71 million. Despite this strong performance, Boot Barn’s stock experienced a decline in after-hours trading. The company also raised its full-year guidance, projecting $1.92 billion in sales and an earnings per share of $5.90. Boot Barn opened 13 new stores in the quarter and plans to open 21 more in the fourth quarter, aiming for a total of 60 new stores for the fiscal year. In analyst coverage, Citi maintained a Buy rating on Boot Barn, setting a price target of $178. Citi believes that the company’s unique product offerings and pricing power position it well to navigate tariff challenges. These developments highlight Boot Barn’s ongoing growth and strategic initiatives in the retail sector.
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