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On Wednesday, DA Davidson analysts increased the price target for Citi Trends stock (NASDAQ: CTRN) to $40 from $29 while maintaining a Buy rating. The stock has shown strong momentum, trading near its 52-week high of $33.21 and delivering a 34% return over the past year. The analysts emphasized the potential for upside driven by the company’s strategy to incorporate more extreme value closeout products. This approach aims to enhance comparable store sales and improve margins with a stable cost base.
The analysts highlighted that in their base case scenario, this strategy could lead to an EBITDA of $44 million by 2027, a significant improvement from the current EBITDA of -$4.19 million. With current revenue of $768.52M and a gross margin of 37.48%, they anticipate average comparable sales growth of 3.5% and margins just under 5%, with at least a 25% incremental flow through. According to InvestingPro, the company operates with a significant debt burden, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03.
In a more optimistic scenario, the analysts projected that Citi Trends could achieve a 4.5% growth in comparable sales and margins of 6%. This would potentially drive EBITDA to $55 million by 2027.
Citi Trends, a retailer known for offering discounted fashion and home goods, has been focusing on expanding its product offerings to attract more customers and boost profitability. The analysts’ updated price target reflects confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and market positioning.
In other recent news, Citi Trends Inc reported impressive financial results for the first quarter of 2025, significantly exceeding earnings expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share of $0.17, surpassing the anticipated loss of $0.27. Revenue also outperformed expectations, reaching $201.7 million compared to the forecasted $194.81 million. Citi Trends reported an 8.3% year-over-year revenue increase and a 9.9% growth in comparable store sales. The company’s gross margin expanded by 90 basis points to 39.6%, and adjusted EBITDA rose to $5.4 million. Analysts from firms like D.A. Davidson and Craig Hallum Capital Group have shown interest in the company’s strategic initiatives and category performance. Citi Trends is focusing on expanding its product assortment, particularly in plus sizes and trend-relevant categories, and is actively working on store remodels, with 36 completed year-to-date. The company maintains a strong financial position with no debt and $42 million in cash, while planning to open or close up to five stores and remodel approximately 50 locations this year.
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