D.R. Horton stock price target cut to $180 by Citizens JMP

Published 21/04/2025, 09:56
D.R. Horton stock price target cut to $180 by Citizens JMP

On Monday, Citizens JMP analyst Aaron Hecht adjusted the price target for D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) shares to $180, down from the previous target of $210, while still maintaining a Market Outperform rating. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for DHI range from $105 to $220, with the stock currently trading at $121.25. The company’s shares appear slightly undervalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. Hecht’s revision follows a period where market conditions have shown a decline during the second fiscal quarter of 2025.

D.R. Horton reported normalized diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.28 for fiscal second quarter 2025, which fell short of both Citizens’ and the consensus estimates, which were $2.61 and $2.63, respectively. The earnings miss was attributed to fewer-than-expected home deliveries and a higher sales, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense ratio. Additionally, the company’s orders were below expectations by 4,800 homes, prompting management to lower its full-year home delivery guidance by 5,000 homes.

The analyst noted that demand for homes has been adversely affected by issues of affordability. Moreover, the tariff policies introduced by the Trump administration have further diminished the pool of potential home buyers. Despite these challenges, Hecht believes that the United States is not building enough housing. He anticipates that the decline in new apartment deliveries later in the year will sustain a sufficient number of homebuyers to keep homebuilders operational.

However, the impact of tariffs on potential buyers is acknowledged as a significant risk. Hecht suggests that investors who can withstand the current tough market conditions could see substantial returns later on. He concluded, "With that said, we recognize how impactful tariffs could be on buyers, which represents a real risk; we think investors who can ride out this difficult period should be rewarded with outsized returns on the back end."

In other recent news, D.R. Horton, a leading homebuilder, reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, revealing a mixed performance. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $2.58, which fell short of the anticipated $2.67. However, its revenue exceeded expectations, reaching $8.36 billion compared to the forecasted $8.15 billion. Despite the EPS miss, the company’s positive revenue performance and guidance for the next quarter have maintained investor interest. Looking forward, D.R. Horton projects consolidated revenues for the third quarter to be between $8.4 billion and $8.9 billion, with plans to close between 22,000 to 22,500 homes. Analysts have noted that Moody’s recently upgraded D.R. Horton’s credit rating to A3, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial stability. The company continues to navigate challenges such as affordability constraints and supply chain issues, adjusting its strategies to maintain its strong market position.

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