Dynatrace shares maintain Outperform rating on current financial setup

Published 16/12/2024, 15:42
Dynatrace shares maintain Outperform rating on current financial setup

On Monday, BMO Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating and $61.00 price target for shares of Dynatrace Inc. (NYSE:DT), a software intelligence company. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a bullish consensus on DT, with price targets ranging from $52 to $70.

The firm's analysis suggests that Dynatrace's current financial setup is reasonably conservative, particularly regarding the anticipated metrics for Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) in the second half of fiscal year 2025.

The report indicates that approximately 30% of Dynatrace's customers are engaged in Dynamic Purchasing System (DPS) contracts, which account for half of the company's ARR. This strategy appears to be working well, as InvestingPro data shows impressive gross profit margins of 82.4% and robust revenue growth of 20.6% over the last twelve months.

Despite some initial challenges, sales representatives at Dynatrace have improved in conveying the value of DPS to customers. The growing traction of DPS is seen as a positive sign, as these contracts were introduced only 18 months ago.

Customers with DPS contracts tend to use more of Dynatrace's services and present more opportunities for upselling. This could potentially lead to an increase in the company's net retention rate over the long term.

Although management has noted that the number of DPS renewals in the second half of fiscal year 2025 may not be significant enough to make a considerable difference, the presence of DPS is still expected to be beneficial.

Furthermore, it was mentioned that DPS engagements might result in consumption levels that exceed the contracted amounts. This overconsumption is likely to positively affect revenues, though it would not be reflected in ARR until contract renewal.

At that point, the excess usage is anticipated to be incorporated into new contracts, which would then positively influence the ARR. For deeper insights into Dynatrace's financial metrics and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, including detailed revenue forecasts and profitability metrics.

In other recent news, Dynatrace Inc. reported robust earnings, with a 19% year-over-year growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $1.62 billion, and a 20% increase in subscription revenue.

Despite strong performance, Dynatrace maintains its full-year ARR guidance at $1.72 to $1.735 billion, reflecting 15% to 16% growth. However, the total revenue guidance for the full year was raised to $1.67 to $1.68 billion, and non-GAAP operating margin guidance increased to 28% to 28.25%.

Analyst firms Loop Capital, and Guggenheim have both recently adjusted their outlook on Dynatrace. Loop Capital increased their price target to $55, and Guggenheim maintained its Buy rating on Dynatrace with a $64 target. These adjustments reflect a positive outlook on the company's recent financial performance and future revenue potential.

These recent developments reflect analysts' growing confidence in Dynatrace's financial performance and market position. However, it's noted that the productivity of the sales team could be affected by the high proportion of sales representatives with less than a year at the company. As these recent changes mature, analysts anticipate sustainable mid to high teens growth.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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