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On Monday, Evercore ISI reiterated its In Line rating and $165.00 price target for Airbnb Inc . (NASDAQ:ABNB) shares, representing a potential 34% upside from the current price of $123.09. With analyst targets ranging from $95 to $200, and just three days until its earnings announcement, the firm’s analyst projected that Airbnb’s first-quarter results for 2025 would likely match expectations, although there is a possibility of a downside due to consumer uncertainty.
The analyst’s assessment is based on various industry data points, third-party channel checks, and sensitivity analysis of their model. According to Evercore ISI, the general market projections for Airbnb’s first-quarter bookings, revenue, room nights, and EBITDA margin are reasonable. These figures are expected to show year-over-year growth and follow historical quarterly patterns, despite some softening in travel demand noted in the first quarter of 2025. According to InvestingPro data, Airbnb maintains impressive gross profit margins of 83% and achieved nearly 12% revenue growth over the last twelve months. Subscribers can access 8 additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics.
Evercore ISI highlighted a weakening in travel demand during the first quarter, with a particularly soft February that could offset a stronger January. However, the weakening of the USD since Airbnb’s mid-February guidance could potentially lead to less severe foreign exchange headwinds than initially feared.
The analyst also referenced data from the Evercore ISI Airlines Research Team, which indicated a downturn in travel based on their proprietary survey. The survey results for February and early March hit their lowest point since April 2022, influenced by factors such as weather conditions, recent accidents, and a more cautious consumer sentiment.
Adding to the cautious outlook, on April 24, 2025, American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) withdrew their full-year 2025 capacity guidance, pointing to a sudden decline in the U.S. domestic leisure market. Other industry indicators, including TSA volumes, web traffic, and hotel occupancy rates, also suggest a weakening demand environment, which may pose risks to Airbnb’s first-quarter results and second-quarter forecast. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro analysis indicates that Airbnb maintains a strong financial health score of 3.2 (GREAT), with more cash than debt on its balance sheet. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears to be trading near its fair value. For detailed insights and a comprehensive Pro Research Report covering what really matters about Airbnb and 1,400+ other top stocks, visit InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Airbnb has seen a series of analyst actions and strategic developments. Canaccord Genuity’s Michael Graham adjusted Airbnb’s price target to $180, maintaining a Buy rating, while noting expectations for a mixed first-quarter performance with a 10-12% year-over-year revenue increase. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald’s Deepak Mathivanan lowered the price target to $101, keeping an Underweight rating, due to potential economic risks impacting travel demand. JMP analysts maintained a Market Perform rating, citing Airbnb’s global presence as a buffer against declining U.S. tourism, despite concerns about the company’s ambitious investment plans.
Citizens JMP also reiterated a Market Perform rating, emphasizing the company’s strategy to appeal to budget-conscious travelers and its international reach. Bernstein analysts maintained an Outperform rating with a $185 target, anticipating Airbnb’s upcoming FY25 Summer release event to introduce significant updates, including new AI features and expanded programs. The event is expected to unveil strategic plans that could enhance Airbnb’s growth potential, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. These recent developments highlight the mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Airbnb’s future performance amid economic uncertainties.
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