Evercore ISI maintains Aon stock Outperform rating, $420 target

Published 18/03/2025, 14:32
Evercore ISI maintains Aon stock Outperform rating, $420 target

On Tuesday, Evercore ISI affirmed its Outperform rating and $420.00 price target on Aon Corp (NYSE:AON), following the company’s announcement about a significant leadership change. The insurance giant, which generated $15.7 billion in revenue last year with impressive 17.4% growth, maintains a "GOOD" financial health rating according to InvestingPro analysis. Aon reported that Eric Andersen, who has been with the firm since 1997 and served as its president since 2018, will transition to an advisory role until June 2026, which aligns with the end of his employment agreement.

CEO Greg Case is set to take on the additional title of President, with limited alterations to his current employment agreement. This move comes approximately nine months after Aon’s former CFO, Christa Davies, retired in June 2024, signaling a shift in the company’s executive ranks.

Evercore ISI analyst expressed some surprise at Andersen’s transition, noting that he was viewed as a potential successor to Case, particularly after co-President Mike O’Connor’s departure in 2020. Andersen’s shift away from the President role also means he will relinquish 50,000 shares granted to him in July 2023, which are set to vest in March 2028 starting at $475 per share, a price approximately 20% above the current levels of $390.66. InvestingPro analysis shows the stock trading at a relatively high P/E ratio of 31.1x, with analyst targets ranging from $315 to $468.

The analyst pointed out that as Aon is a business heavily reliant on human capital, Andersen’s departure could potentially lead to employee turnover and impact the company’s organic growth. Nonetheless, Evercore ISI suggests that Aon’s recent strategic pivot to focus on organic hiring and roll-up mergers and acquisitions through NFP may mitigate potential negative effects stemming from this leadership change. The company has demonstrated resilience through its 46-year streak of maintaining dividend payments, with analysts forecasting continued profitability and 11% revenue growth for FY2025. For deeper insights into Aon’s financial health and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Aon plc announced a leadership change with CEO Greg Case taking on additional responsibilities as president, following Eric Andersen’s transition to a senior advisory role. Additionally, Michael Neller will transition from his role as Chief Accounting Officer and Global Controller to become the Deputy Global Chief People Officer, focusing on Total (EPA:TTEF) Rewards and Talent Development. Aon is currently searching for Neller’s successor to ensure a smooth transition in its financial leadership.

Analyst activity has been notable, with Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raising Aon’s stock price target to $414 while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing the company’s strong prospects for organic growth and improved margins. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also increased its price target to $385, highlighting Aon’s potential for revenue growth and margin expansion through strategic investments in technology. Conversely, BMO Capital reduced its price target to $373, noting that Aon’s recent performance did not meet free cash flow estimates, though the firm’s cash earnings per share remain competitive among insurance brokers.

These developments reflect Aon’s ongoing strategic adjustments and market positioning efforts, with a focus on leadership restructuring and financial performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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