Evercore maintains Match Group stock with $32 target

Published 21/05/2025, 10:42
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On Wednesday, Evercore ISI maintained its In Line rating and a $32.00 price target for Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) stock, which currently trades at $29.42 with a P/E ratio of 13.8x and generates annual revenue of $3.45 billion. The firm’s analysis highlighted Match Group’s strategic plans to reinvest $45 million of its $100 million in cost savings during fiscal year 2025. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company appears undervalued based on its Fair Value calculations. This reinvestment will focus on regional expansion and product development across Match Group’s portfolio, including efforts on Azar’s market presence in the United States, Pairs in Korea, The League in the Middle East, and the Archer platform.

Match Group management outlined a balanced approach to reinvestment, with half of the funds earmarked for initiatives such as go-to-market strategies and user acquisition, and the other half allocated for "revenue givebacks" within Tinder. The company maintains strong financial health with a gross profit margin of 71.92% and a comfortable current ratio of 1.62, indicating solid liquidity. For deeper insights into Match Group’s financial metrics and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, part of the platform’s coverage of 1,400+ US equities. These givebacks are expected to enhance features like the core recommendation engine, trust and safety measures, as well as curation and discoverability, especially aiming to improve the experience for college students and Gen Z users.

In addition to these internal investments, Match Group is exploring new opportunities in in-app purchases (IAP). The company has already seen several of its iOS apps approved for web payments in the U.S., including Tinder, Plenty of Fish, and OkCupid, with Hinge soon to follow. Match Group is currently testing various web checkout processes, with some iterations already achieving net revenue neutrality and others showing promising results.

Furthermore, the company has launched a new college-focused dating app, Chemistry, at the University of Pennsylvania. The app combines traditional Tinder user experience mechanics with features tailored to college students and has experienced significant user adoption due to its high virality. Match Group is considering whether to integrate these features into Tinder or to develop a standalone app, taking into account the potential for monetization and the marketing spend required for scaling. InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score of 2.91, with several additional ProTips available to subscribers regarding management’s aggressive share buybacks and strong shareholder yield.

Match Group’s strategic reinvestment and innovation initiatives are part of the company’s broader efforts to adapt to changing market dynamics and user preferences, particularly within the Gen Z demographic. The company plans to finalize its web payment strategies in the coming weeks and anticipates being able to estimate the financial impact by the second-quarter earnings report.

In other recent news, Match Group has reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a notable shortfall in earnings per share (EPS) while slightly exceeding revenue forecasts. The company posted an EPS of $0.44, missing the expected $0.66, with total revenue reaching $831 million, just above the forecast of $827.4 million. Despite the revenue beat, the decline in Tinder’s revenue by 7% year-over-year remains a concern, though Hinge’s revenue increased by 23%. In response to these challenges, Match Group is undergoing a reorganization, including a 13% reduction in workforce, which is expected to generate significant operational savings. These savings are planned to be reinvested into expanding the company’s geographical reach and demographic targeting.

Analysts have adjusted their outlooks following these developments. Evercore ISI cut its price target for Match Group shares to $32, maintaining an In Line rating, while Goldman Sachs reduced its target to $37 but kept a Buy rating. Citi also revised its price target to $30, maintaining a Neutral stance. These adjustments reflect concerns over user trends on Tinder and the company’s ability to reverse these trends.

Match Group’s management has confirmed its full-year revenue outlook, assuming a stable macroeconomic environment, and has maintained its Adjusted Operating Income margin guidance. The company is focusing on product innovation and enhancing user experience, particularly on Tinder, to drive growth. The ongoing restructuring and strategic initiatives are aimed at bolstering business performance amidst economic uncertainties.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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