FedEx stock price target lowered by Evercore ISI on tariff headwinds

Published 25/06/2025, 14:50
FedEx stock price target lowered by Evercore ISI on tariff headwinds

Investing.com - Evercore ISI lowered its price target on FedEx (NYSE:FDX) to $249.00 from $259.00 on Wednesday, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The prominent player in the Air Freight & Logistics industry, with a market capitalization of $52 billion and trailing twelve-month revenue of $87.8 billion, is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 14.2x. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued at current levels.

The research firm cited FedEx’s first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings guidance of $3.40-4.00 per share, which falls below the previous Street forecast of $4.05 and Evercore’s estimate of $4.34. This guidance revision aligns with InvestingPro data showing 13 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates downward. FedEx identified ongoing trade headwinds and tariff-related uncertainty as key factors affecting its outlook.

The delivery giant projects tariffs will have a net impact of $170 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. The company also faces a $120 million headwind related to the loss of the U.S. Postal Service contract, which represents the last difficult comparison related to this specific challenge.

Evercore expects FedEx’s first-quarter earnings to represent less than 20% of its fiscal 2026 total, compared to a long-term average of 22%. The firm reduced its fiscal 2026 earnings per share forecast to $19.16 from $19.95.

The research firm noted that despite the disappointing first-quarter outlook, FedEx’s path forward should differ from historical seasonal trends as the specific challenges to this quarter abate, barring a full-blown trade war. The company maintains a "GOOD" overall Financial Health score, with a solid dividend yield of 2.53%. For deeper insights into FedEx’s financial health and extensive analysis, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, FedEx Corporation reported stronger-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $6.07, surpassing the forecasted $5.96, and reported revenue of $22.2 billion, exceeding expectations by 1.65%. Despite these positive results, FedEx has decided to withhold its full-year earnings outlook for fiscal 2026, a departure from its usual practice. JPMorgan has maintained its Overweight rating on FedEx, with a price target of $290.00, even as the company’s guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 came in below consensus. FedEx is also preparing for a significant FedEx Freight spin-off planned for June 2026. Additionally, the company is targeting $1 billion in transformation-related savings and a $2 billion savings opportunity through its Network 2.0 initiative. These developments highlight FedEx’s strategic efforts to navigate a challenging global trade environment and enhance operational efficiency.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.