Genius Sports stock rating to Buy, target set at $12 by B.Riley

Published 18/03/2025, 14:10
Genius Sports stock rating to Buy, target set at $12 by B.Riley

Tuesday, Genius Sports Ltd. (NYSE:GENI), currently trading at $9.48, received a positive outlook from B.Riley as the firm resumed coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $12.00. The new assessment reflects confidence in the company’s position within the growing global sports betting and media market. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a strong buy consensus with price targets ranging from $11 to $15, suggesting significant upside potential.

B.Riley highlighted Genius Sports’ exclusive partnerships with major sports organizations, such as the English Premier League, NFL, International Basketball Federation, and NCAA, as a key competitive advantage. The company’s extensive data collection network, which covers over 300,000 live events, has been developed and scaled over the past 25 years, offering a robust foundation for growth. This expansion is reflected in the company’s impressive 23.7% revenue growth over the last twelve months, with total revenue reaching $510.9 million.

The firm’s integration into more than 650 sportsbooks, bolstered by long-term contracts, provides stable visibility into future performance. These agreements also include revenue-sharing models, which allow Genius Sports to capture a share of the expanding sports betting industry’s profits. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with more cash than debt and a strong current ratio of 1.43, indicating solid short-term financial stability.

B.Riley underscored the duopolistic nature of the sports data market, where Genius Sports operates. The high barriers to entry and the company’s significant pricing power contribute to the potential for increased take rates over time, further enhancing its market stance.

The $12.00 price target set by B.Riley suggests a positive trajectory for Genius Sports’ stock, as the company continues to add more leagues and events to its already expansive portfolio. This strategy is expected to drive both visibility and growth, leveraging the company’s established infrastructure and strategic partnerships. While the stock has delivered an impressive 65.4% return over the past year, InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently trading slightly above its Fair Value. Discover more insights and 7 additional ProTips for GENI in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, Genius Sports Ltd. has been the subject of several analyst updates and financial assessments. Guggenheim initiated coverage on the company with a Buy rating and set a price target of $12.00, emphasizing the company’s strategic position in sports, media, and gaming. Craig-Hallum also maintained a Buy rating while increasing the price target to $15.00, citing the company’s pricing power and new product introductions as key growth drivers. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs raised its target to $12.50 after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings met expectations, highlighting growth in existing customer business and future revenue projections. Benchmark echoed a positive sentiment by setting a $12.00 price target, noting the company’s strong financial performance and significant revenue growth in the U.S. market.

Genius Sports has been commended for its robust financial profile, with a strong balance sheet that provides financial flexibility. The company reported a 51% year-over-year revenue growth in its U.S. business for the fourth quarter, despite challenges in the NFL betting market. Additionally, the company has projected a 21% increase in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $125 million for fiscal year 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations. Analysts have pointed out the company’s ability to raise prices on contract renewals and its strategic investments, including a $144 million public offering, as factors bolstering its growth trajectory. These developments underscore the analysts’ confidence in Genius Sports’ potential for continued expansion in the sports technology sector.

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